Hobro vs HB Køge: match statistics
Hobro appears to have a slight advantage as the host in this match. Although their home record is not impressive (22% wins), HB Køge presents even weaker form on the road with just 11% of matches won and a catastrophic goal difference (-11). A key factor is that HB Køge has not kept a single clean sheet away this season, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per match. Hobro has shown signs of improvement in their last five overall matches with two victories and 1.2 points per match. Expected goals (xG) also favor the hosts (1.38 vs 1.26), suggesting Hobro creates slightly better scoring opportunities. Considering all statistics, a tight encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts is expected, though a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the average form of both teams.
Hobro vs HB Køge: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hobro played against HB Køge in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Hobro has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. HB Køge has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Hobro scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.56. HB Køge scores 1.22 and allows 1.89. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Hobro's games and 67% of HB Køge's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
HB Køge has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.31 per game. Hobro takes 10.9 shots per game, while HB Køge takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Hobro leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. HB Køge leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hobro's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For HB Køge, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hobro appears to have a slight advantage as the host in this match. Although their home record is not impressive (22% wins), HB Køge presents even weaker form on the road with just 11% of matches won and a catastrophic goal difference (-11). A key factor is that HB Køge has not kept a single clean sheet away this season, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per match. Hobro has shown signs of improvement in their last five overall matches with two victories and 1.2 points per match. Expected goals (xG) also favor the hosts (1.38 vs 1.26), suggesting Hobro creates slightly better scoring opportunities. Considering all statistics, a tight encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts is expected, though a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the average form of both teams.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hobro | HB Køge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hobro is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Hobro · 1 pts / game - HB Køge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HB Køge is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Hobro · 1.22 goals / game - HB Køge
Hobro is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.56 goals / game - Hobro · 1.89 goals / game - HB Køge
Hobro scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 meczów).
HB Køge scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hobro
Over / Under - HB Køge
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HB Køge is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Hobro · 1.17 pts / game - HB Køge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hobro
HB Køge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hobro | Liga | HB Køge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.56 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hobro's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against HB Køge. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hobro vs HB Køge?
The 1st Division match finished Hobro 1:1 HB Køge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hobro vs HB Køge?
Hobro score 1.00 goals per game on average and HB Køge 1.22. The 1st Division average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Hobro's matches and 67% of HB Køge's.
What form are Hobro and HB Køge in?
Over the last 5 games Hobro have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and HB Køge 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hobro vs HB Køge?
The statistical background for Hobro vs HB Køge — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.