Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hoffenheim II play MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 21 November 2025 at 19:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Hoffenheim II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. MSV Duisburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hoffenheim II scores 1.71 and concedes 1.87 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 1.74 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.21 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hoffenheim II 74%, MSV Duisburg 66%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim II 71%, MSV Duisburg 63%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Hoffenheim II has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.52. Hoffenheim II: 13.2 shots per match, MSV Duisburg: 12.4.

Match halves

Hoffenheim II: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.79. MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.03.

Goals by minute

Hoffenheim II: 0-15 (15 goals). MSV Duisburg: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

4 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
21Shots8
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
11Shots on target2
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
2.47xG0.89
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
4Corners5
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
54Dangerous attacks34
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
5Fouls13
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
2Cards0
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.71Goals scored / match1.74
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.87Goals conceded / match1.29
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
54%Average possession46%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
5.74Shots on target / match4.95
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.18Shots per match12.39
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
5.74Shots on target4.95
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
13%Shot conversion14%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
54%Possession46%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.64xG for1.52
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.65xG against1.38
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Shooting quality

Hoffenheim II: Efficient finishingMSV Duisburg: Counter-attacking
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
Accuracy (shots on target)44%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

MSV Duisburg is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Hoffenheim II · 1.6 pts / match - MSV Duisburg

Hoffenheim II
LLLWL
Season result split
32% W18% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-7-19
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-5-8
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
MSV Duisburg
WLWDD
Season result split
50% W29% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-11-8
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-6-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MSV Duisburg is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.87 goals / match - Hoffenheim II · 1.29 goals / match - MSV Duisburg

Hoffenheim II scoring profile: very strong

Hoffenheim II scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).

MSV Duisburg scoring profile: very strong

MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Hoffenheim II keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 matches).

65Goals scored (season)66
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
71Goals conceded (season)49
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
3.58Average goals in match3.03
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
12Goals conceded (last 5)6
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal79%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
42%2 goals53%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
24%3 goals29%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
16%4 goals13%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal71%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
58%2 goals26%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
34%3 goals16%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
8%4 goals8%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

39%BTTS at half-time18%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
13%BTTS in both halves8%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
26%Scored in both halves32%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
60%BTTS - last 580%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
55%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
24%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MSV Duisburg is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Hoffenheim II · 1.39 pts / match - MSV Duisburg

Hoffenheim II - half-time state
26% leading39% draw34% trailing
MSV Duisburg - half-time state
32% leading45% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.39
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
0.84Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.76Average goals (1st half)1.34
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
34%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
39%No goal before half-time53%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1.55
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)1.03
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.66
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.82Average goals (2nd half)1.68
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
32%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
50%No goal after half-time37%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Hoffenheim II - second-half results

24% W32% R45% P
45
Half-time points
35
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MSV Duisburg - second-half results

34% W53% R13% P
53
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hoffenheim II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
MSV Duisburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hoffenheim II
ScoredConceded
15
8
0-15
9
14
16-30
11
10
31-45
9
10
46-60
6
11
61-75
15
18
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

MSV Duisburg
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
12
6
16-30
9
13
31-45
10
5
46-60
12
9
61-75
17
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hoffenheim II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
129%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

MSV Duisburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

Hoffenheim IILigaMSV Duisburg
Average goals in match 3.583.21 3.03
Both teams scored 74%64% 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%64% 63%
Clean sheets 13%21% 29%
Goal before half-time 87%77% 68%
Goal after half-time 82%83% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.45
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hoffenheim II 0 - 0 - 1 MSV Duisburg. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?

The 3. Liga match finished Hoffenheim II 4:1 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?

Hoffenheim II score 1.71 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 1.74. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Hoffenheim II's matches and 66% of MSV Duisburg's.

What form are Hoffenheim II and MSV Duisburg in?

Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.