Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: match statistics
Hoffenheim presents impressive home form with a 63% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their own stadium, making them a difficult opponent for any visitor. The hosts average 2.5 goals per match at home with just 13% of matches without a goal scored, which proves their offensive effectiveness. Bayer Leverkusen, despite a solid position in the table, has problems on the road – they have never kept a clean sheet (0% CS%) and concede an average of 2 goals per match, which constitutes a significant weakness. The form of both teams in the last five matches is even (Hoffenheim: 2 PPG vs Leverkusen: 1.4 PPG); however, the home advantage and better defense of the hosts (xGA 1.42 vs 1.78) tip the scales in their favor. I expect a balanced, offensive match with a slight advantage for the hosts, who should exploit the defensive weaknesses of the guests and secure a valuable three points.
Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hoffenheim played against Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Hoffenheim has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Bayer Leverkusen has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Hoffenheim scores 2.13 goals per game and allows 1.31. Bayer Leverkusen scores 2.13 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Hoffenheim's games and 63% of Bayer Leverkusen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 69%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bayer Leverkusen has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.53 per game. Hoffenheim takes 13.0 shots per game, while Bayer Leverkusen takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Hoffenheim leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Bayer Leverkusen leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hoffenheim's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Bayer Leverkusen, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.28 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim presents impressive home form with a 63% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their own stadium, making them a difficult opponent for any visitor. The hosts average 2.5 goals per match at home with just 13% of matches without a goal scored, which proves their offensive effectiveness. Bayer Leverkusen, despite a solid position in the table, has problems on the road – they have never kept a clean sheet (0% CS%) and concede an average of 2 goals per match, which constitutes a significant weakness. The form of both teams in the last five matches is even (Hoffenheim: 2 PPG vs Leverkusen: 1.4 PPG); however, the home advantage and better defense of the hosts (xGA 1.42 vs 1.78) tip the scales in their favor. I expect a balanced, offensive match with a slight advantage for the hosts, who should exploit the defensive weaknesses of the guests and secure a valuable three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hoffenheim is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Hoffenheim · 1.2 pts / game - Bayer Leverkusen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 15% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.31 goals / game - Hoffenheim · 1.5 goals / game - Bayer Leverkusen
Hoffenheim scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Bayer Leverkusen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).
Bayer Leverkusen scores in 88% of games (14 of 16 meczów), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
Over / Under - Bayer Leverkusen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayer Leverkusen is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / game - Hoffenheim · 1.75 pts / game - Bayer Leverkusen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bayer Leverkusen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +8 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.44 | 3.28 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 83% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hoffenheim's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bayer Leverkusen. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 1:0 Bayer Leverkusen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Hoffenheim score 2.13 goals per game on average and Bayer Leverkusen 2.13. The Bundesliga average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Hoffenheim's matches and 63% of Bayer Leverkusen's.
What form are Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bayer Leverkusen 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.