Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach: match statistics
Hoffenheim exhibits solid home form with a 57% win rate at their own stadium and a +4 goal difference, representing a significant advantage. The hosts average 2.14 goals per home game, failing to score in just 14% of matches, which attests to their offensive efficiency. Borussia M'gladbach holds a balanced away record (43% wins and 43% losses), though their recent form is concerning, with just 1.2 points per game in their last five outings. Hoffenheim's superiority in possession (55% vs 48%) and better xG figures at home (1.61 vs 1.4 for the visitors away) further support the hosts. Considering all factors, a tight contest with a slight edge for Hoffenheim is expected, although a draw or an away win remain realistic scenarios given Borussia's decent defensive resilience on the road.
Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hoffenheim played against Borussia M'gladbach in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 14, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Hoffenheim has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Borussia M'gladbach has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Hoffenheim scores 1.93 goals per game and allows 1.33. Borussia M'gladbach scores 1.38 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Hoffenheim's games and 31% of Borussia M'gladbach's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 56%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hoffenheim has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.32 per game. Hoffenheim takes 12.7 shots per game, while Borussia M'gladbach takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Hoffenheim leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Borussia M'gladbach leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hoffenheim's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Borussia M'gladbach, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim exhibits solid home form with a 57% win rate at their own stadium and a +4 goal difference, representing a significant advantage. The hosts average 2.14 goals per home game, failing to score in just 14% of matches, which attests to their offensive efficiency. Borussia M'gladbach holds a balanced away record (43% wins and 43% losses), though their recent form is concerning, with just 1.2 points per game in their last five outings. Hoffenheim's superiority in possession (55% vs 48%) and better xG figures at home (1.61 vs 1.4 for the visitors away) further support the hosts. Considering all factors, a tight contest with a slight edge for Hoffenheim is expected, although a draw or an away win remain realistic scenarios given Borussia's decent defensive resilience on the road.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | Borussia M'gladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hoffenheim is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Hoffenheim · 1.4 pts / game - Borussia M'gladbach
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.93 goals / game - Hoffenheim · 1.38 goals / game - Borussia M'gladbach
Hoffenheim is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Hoffenheim · 1.5 goals / game - Borussia M'gladbach
Hoffenheim scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Borussia M'gladbach keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 meczów).
Borussia M'gladbach scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
Over / Under - Borussia M'gladbach
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / game - Hoffenheim · 1.19 pts / game - Borussia M'gladbach
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Borussia M'gladbach - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hoffenheim
Borussia M'gladbach
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | Borussia M'gladbach | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.27 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 78% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 82% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach?
The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 5:1 Borussia M'gladbach. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach?
Hoffenheim score 1.93 goals per game on average and Borussia M'gladbach 1.38. The Bundesliga average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Hoffenheim's matches and 31% of Borussia M'gladbach's.
What form are Hoffenheim and Borussia M'gladbach in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Borussia M'gladbach 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach?
The statistical background for Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


