Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hoffenheim play Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 13 December 2025 at 15:30. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Hoffenheim: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Hamburger SV: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hoffenheim scores 1.91 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Hamburger SV scores 1.18 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hoffenheim 65%, Hamburger SV 65%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim 71%, Hamburger SV 56%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Hoffenheim has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.35. Hoffenheim: 14.1 shots per match, Hamburger SV: 12.3.

Match halves

Hoffenheim: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.85. Hamburger SV: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (19 goals). Hamburger SV: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
HoffenheimHamburger SV
10Shots14
HoffenheimHamburger SV
6Shots on target5
HoffenheimHamburger SV
1.44xG1.39
HoffenheimHamburger SV
3Corners3
HoffenheimHamburger SV
51Dangerous attacks22
HoffenheimHamburger SV
16Fouls10
HoffenheimHamburger SV
1Cards3
HoffenheimHamburger SV

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

HoffenheimHamburger SV
1.91Goals scored / match1.18
HoffenheimHamburger SV
1.53Goals conceded / match1.59
HoffenheimHamburger SV
55%Average possession45%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
5.18Shots on target / match4.56
HoffenheimHamburger SV

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.12Shots per match12.29
HoffenheimHamburger SV
5.18Shots on target4.56
HoffenheimHamburger SV
13.5%Shot conversion9.6%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
55%Possession45%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
1.64xG for1.35
HoffenheimHamburger SV
1.38xG against1.66
HoffenheimHamburger SV

Shooting quality

Hoffenheim: DominantHamburger SV: Balanced
HoffenheimHamburger SV
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hoffenheim is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.4 pts / match - Hamburger SV

Hoffenheim
WWDWL
Season result split
53% W21% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-7-9
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-2-5
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Hamburger SV
LLWWD
Season result split
26% W32% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-11-14
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-9
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hoffenheim is 62% better for: goals scored per match.

1.91 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.18 goals / match - Hamburger SV

Hoffenheim scoring profile: very strong

Hoffenheim scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

Hamburger SV scoring profile: very strong

Hamburger SV scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

65Goals scored (season)40
HoffenheimHamburger SV
52Goals conceded (season)54
HoffenheimHamburger SV
3.44Average goals in match2.76
HoffenheimHamburger SV
8Goals scored (last 5)8
HoffenheimHamburger SV
9Goals conceded (last 5)9
HoffenheimHamburger SV

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal71%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
56%2 goals32%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
38%3 goals12%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
12%4 goals3%
HoffenheimHamburger SV

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal82%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
38%2 goals44%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
18%3 goals18%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
12%4 goals12%
HoffenheimHamburger SV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time26%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
9%BTTS in both halves9%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
38%Scored in both halves24%
HoffenheimHamburger SV

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
60%BTTS - last 5100%
HoffenheimHamburger SV

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
59%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
24%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
HoffenheimHamburger SV

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
HoffenheimHamburger SV

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hoffenheim is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.62 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.03 pts / match - Hamburger SV

Hoffenheim - half-time state
44% leading29% draw26% trailing
Hamburger SV - half-time state
18% leading50% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.62Points per match (1st half)1.03
HoffenheimHamburger SV
1.06Goals scored (1st half)0.5
HoffenheimHamburger SV
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
HoffenheimHamburger SV
1.82Average goals (1st half)1.24
HoffenheimHamburger SV
47%Clean sheet before half-time44%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
35%No goal before half-time59%
HoffenheimHamburger SV

After half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points per match (2nd half)1.15
HoffenheimHamburger SV
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
HoffenheimHamburger SV
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
HoffenheimHamburger SV
1.62Average goals (2nd half)1.53
HoffenheimHamburger SV
44%Clean sheet after half-time38%
HoffenheimHamburger SV
44%No goal after half-time47%
HoffenheimHamburger SV

Hoffenheim - second-half results

24% W53% R24% P
55
Half-time points
36
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hamburger SV - second-half results

24% W44% R32% P
35
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hoffenheim - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.60
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Hamburger SV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hoffenheim
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
12
10
16-30
19
7
31-45
14
5
46-60
5
9
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Hamburger SV
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
4
11
16-30
10
10
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
6
61-75
6
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hoffenheim

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Hamburger SV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

HoffenheimLigaHamburger SV
Average goals in match 3.443.24 2.76
Both teams scored 65%62% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%64% 56%
Clean sheets 21%21% 18%
Goal before half-time 88%77% 71%
Goal after half-time 74%86% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.24
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.46
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hoffenheim 1 - 0 - 0 Hamburger SV. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?

The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 4:1 Hamburger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?

Hoffenheim score 1.91 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 1.18. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Hoffenheim's matches and 65% of Hamburger SV's.

What form are Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV in?

Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hamburger SV 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?

The statistical background for Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.