Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli: match statistics
Hoffenheim looks decidedly better in every aspect of the game. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and an average of 2.45 goals per match at home, achieving a 73% win rate in home matches. St. Pauli sits in 16th position, with just 8% away wins and a goal difference of -13 in away matches. The visitors' form is concerning - they have lost 75% of their away matches and have only 42% scoring efficiency on foreign pitches. Hoffenheim also dominates in xG statistics (1.74 vs 1.11), possession (55% vs 43%), and average shots on target (5.64 vs 2.67). All indicators unequivocally point to a sure victory for the hosts, who have a clear advantage in terms of both quality of play and current form.
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hoffenheim play St. Pauli in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hoffenheim: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. St. Pauli: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hoffenheim scores 1.91 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. St. Pauli scores 0.85 and concedes 1.76. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hoffenheim 65%, St. Pauli 56%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim 71%, St. Pauli 56%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Hoffenheim has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.19. Hoffenheim: 14.1 shots per match, St. Pauli: 10.3.
Match halves
Hoffenheim: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.85. St. Pauli: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (19 goals). St. Pauli: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Hoffenheim looks decidedly better in every aspect of the game. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and an average of 2.45 goals per match at home, achieving a 73% win rate in home matches. St. Pauli sits in 16th position, with just 8% away wins and a goal difference of -13 in away matches. The visitors' form is concerning - they have lost 75% of their away matches and have only 42% scoring efficiency on foreign pitches. Hoffenheim also dominates in xG statistics (1.74 vs 1.11), possession (55% vs 43%), and average shots on target (5.64 vs 2.67). All indicators unequivocally point to a sure victory for the hosts, who have a clear advantage in terms of both quality of play and current form.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hoffenheim is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 0.2 pts / match - St. Pauli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 0.85 goals / match - St. Pauli
Hoffenheim is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.76 goals / match - St. Pauli
Hoffenheim scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
St. Pauli scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hoffenheim
Over / Under — St. Pauli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 0.91 pts / match - St. Pauli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 86% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hoffenheim 1 - 0 - 0 St. Pauli. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli?
The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 0:1 St. Pauli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli?
Hoffenheim score 1.91 goals per game on average and St. Pauli 0.85. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Hoffenheim's matches and 56% of St. Pauli's.
What form are Hoffenheim and St. Pauli in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and St. Pauli 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli?
The statistical background for Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.