Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli: match statistics
Hoffenheim looks decidedly better in every aspect of the game. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and an average of 2.45 goals per match at home, achieving a 73% win rate in home matches. St. Pauli sits in 16th position, with just 8% away wins and a goal difference of -13 in away matches. The visitors' form is concerning - they have lost 75% of their away matches and have only 42% scoring efficiency on foreign pitches. Hoffenheim also dominates in xG statistics (1.74 vs 1.11), possession (55% vs 43%), and average shots on target (5.64 vs 2.67). All indicators unequivocally point to a sure victory for the hosts, who have a clear advantage in terms of both quality of play and current form.
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hoffenheim played against St. Pauli in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Hoffenheim has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. St. Pauli has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Hoffenheim scores 2.13 goals per game and allows 1.30. St. Pauli scores 0.96 and allows 1.74. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Hoffenheim's games and 57% of St. Pauli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 61%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hoffenheim has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.22 per game. Hoffenheim takes 13.5 shots per game, while St. Pauli takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Hoffenheim leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.04 goals per game after halftime. St. Pauli leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hoffenheim's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). For St. Pauli, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim looks decidedly better in every aspect of the game. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and an average of 2.45 goals per match at home, achieving a 73% win rate in home matches. St. Pauli sits in 16th position, with just 8% away wins and a goal difference of -13 in away matches. The visitors' form is concerning - they have lost 75% of their away matches and have only 42% scoring efficiency on foreign pitches. Hoffenheim also dominates in xG statistics (1.74 vs 1.11), possession (55% vs 43%), and average shots on target (5.64 vs 2.67). All indicators unequivocally point to a sure victory for the hosts, who have a clear advantage in terms of both quality of play and current form.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hoffenheim is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Hoffenheim · 1.4 pts / game - St. Pauli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 122% better for: goals scored per game.
2.13 goals / game - Hoffenheim · 0.96 goals / game - St. Pauli
Hoffenheim is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.3 goals / game - Hoffenheim · 1.74 goals / game - St. Pauli
Hoffenheim scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
St. Pauli scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
Over / Under - St. Pauli
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / game - Hoffenheim · 0.87 pts / game - St. Pauli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.43 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 83% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hoffenheim's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against St. Pauli. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli?
The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 0:1 St. Pauli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli?
Hoffenheim score 2.13 goals per game on average and St. Pauli 0.96. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Hoffenheim's matches and 57% of St. Pauli's.
What form are Hoffenheim and St. Pauli in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and St. Pauli 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli?
The statistical background for Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.