Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Holstein Kiel played against Dynamo Dresden in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on December 20, 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Holstein Kiel has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Dynamo Dresden has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Holstein Kiel scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.31. Dynamo Dresden scores 1.44 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Holstein Kiel's games and 81% of Dynamo Dresden's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 81%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Dynamo Dresden has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.37 per game. Holstein Kiel takes 12.9 shots per game, while Dynamo Dresden takes 12.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Holstein Kiel leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Dynamo Dresden leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.56 after halftime.

When the teams score

Holstein Kiel's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Dynamo Dresden, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

2. Bundesliga games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

49Possession (%)51
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
10Shots19
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
4Shots on target8
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.16xG2.14
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
7Corners9
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
34Dangerous attacks52
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
7Fouls8
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0Cards1
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.13Goals scored / game1.44
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.31Goals allowed / game2
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
51%Average possession50%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
4Shots on target / game3.75
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.88Shots per game12.88
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
4Shots on target3.75
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
8.7%Shot conversion11.2%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
51%Possession50%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.37xG for1.41
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.58xG against1.57
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Shooting quality

Holstein Kiel: BalancedDynamo Dresden: Balanced
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
Accuracy (shots on target)31%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Dynamo Dresden is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.2 pts / game - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel
WLLDD
Season result split
25% W31% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-7
1.06 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Dynamo Dresden
LWWLL
Season result split
19% W25% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-9
0.81 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dynamo Dresden is 27% better for: goals scored per game.

1.13 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.44 goals / game - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel is 53% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.31 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 2 goals / game - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel scoring profile: very strong

Holstein Kiel scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Dynamo Dresden keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 16 meczów).

Dynamo Dresden scoring profile: very strong

Dynamo Dresden scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).

18Goals scored (season)23
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
21Goals conceded (season)32
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
2.44Average goals per game3.44
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6Goals scored (last 5)8
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal81%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
19%2 goals56%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
13%3 goals6%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0%4 goals0%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal100%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
38%2 goals75%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
13%3 goals25%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6%4 goals0%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time44%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6%BTTS in both halves13%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
19%Scored in both halves31%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS81%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time94%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time63%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time31%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Holstein Kiel is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.31 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.19 pts / game - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing
Dynamo Dresden - half-time state
31% leading25% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.31Points per game (1st half)1.19
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.88
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)1.06
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.94
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
63%Clean sheet before half-time31%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
50%No goal before half-time31%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per game (2nd half)0.75
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
50%Clean sheet after half-time19%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
50%No goal after half-time56%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel - second-half results

31% W44% R25% P
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 25%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Dynamo Dresden - second-half results

13% W38% R50% P
19
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Holstein Kiel - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.60
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game1.40.4
Average goals per game2.01.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Dynamo Dresden - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.62.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Holstein Kiel
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Dynamo Dresden
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
4
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
4
7
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Holstein Kiel

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Dynamo Dresden

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Holstein KielLigaDynamo Dresden
Average goals per game 2.442.83 3.44
Both teams scored 56%54% 81%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%57% 81%
Clean sheets 25%26% 0%
Goal before half-time 69%66% 94%
Goal after half-time 75%83% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / game
1.34
Away goals / game
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Dynamo DresdenYellow cardJulian Andreas Pauli
  2. Dynamo DresdenGoalVincent VermeijAssist: Luca Herrmann
  3. Holstein KielGoalPhil HarresAssist: Steven Skrzybski
  4. Holstein KielGoalIvan NekićAssist: Niklas Niehoff
  5. Dynamo DresdenSubstitutionOn: Nils FrolingOff: Lukas Boeder
  6. Holstein KielSubstitutionOn: John TolkinOff: Niklas Niehoff
  7. Holstein KielSubstitutionOn: Jonas TherkelsenOff: Adrián Kaprálik
  8. Holstein KielSubstitutionOn: Kasper DavidsenOff: Robert Wagner

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 2:1 Dynamo Dresden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Holstein Kiel score 1.13 goals per game on average and Dynamo Dresden 1.44. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 81% of Dynamo Dresden's.

What form are Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden in?

Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Dynamo Dresden 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.