Holstein Kiel vs Kaiserslautern: match statistics
Holstein Kiel vs Kaiserslautern: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Holstein Kiel played against Kaiserslautern in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on April 17, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Holstein Kiel has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Kaiserslautern has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Holstein Kiel scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.48. Kaiserslautern scores 1.69 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 66% of Holstein Kiel's games and 55% of Kaiserslautern's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 66%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kaiserslautern has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.31 per game. Holstein Kiel takes 12.2 shots per game, while Kaiserslautern takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Holstein Kiel leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.66 goals per game after halftime. Kaiserslautern leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Holstein Kiel's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Kaiserslautern, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win: Holstein Kiel average xG 1.46 at home, attempt 13.29 shots per game with 4 on target, while Kaiserslautern away have xG 1.20 and 11 shots per game. Defensively Holstein concede 1.14 goals per home match with xG against 1.37, whereas the visitors concede 1.71 goals away with xG against 1.82, indicating greater vulnerability for Kaiserslautern on the road. Kaiserslautern have more goals this season (49 vs 36) and have scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches compared to the hosts’ 7, and they record higher PPG in the last 5 (1.8 vs 1.4). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 43% of away games versus only 21% for the hosts, and their away goal difference is -8, suggesting instability. Considering Holstein’s superiority in possession (54% vs 45%), higher shot volume (13.29 vs 11) and more stable home defense, I expect a narrow home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Holstein Kiel averages 2.2 goals scored per match this season (xG 1.77) and records BTTS in 67% of home games; the hosts average 15.73 shots and 6.0 on target with a conversion rate of 14%. Kaiserslautern away average is 1.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded, season BTTS 43% (but only 20% in the last 5 matches), they average 11.0 shots with 3.57 on target and have xG for 1.20 versus xG against 1.82. In the last 5 fixtures Kiel scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 (7 goals in 5), while Kaiserslautern scored 1.8 and conceded 1.2 (9 goals in 5), indicating the visitors have recently been able to find the net. Additionally, the league BTTS rate is 59%, hosts keep a clean sheet in only 27% of matches, and Holstein have 73% of matches over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of those games, so the trend supports a both-teams-to-score scenario. Based on this, I indicate BTTS - Yes as the best pick with a probability of 72% versus 28% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An xG-based model (average attacking xG vs opponent defensive xG) yields expected xG of 1.80 for Holstein Kiel and 1.27 for Kaiserslautern, totaling 3.07 expected goals. Under a Poisson distribution with λ=3.07 the probability of Over 1.5 is ~81% (P(0)+P(1)≈19%), Over 2.5 ~59% (P(0–2)≈41%), and Over 3.5 ~37% (P(0–3)≈63%). Seasonal data reinforce this conclusion: Holstein has 80% of matches Over 1.5 and 73% Over 2.5, Kaiserslautern 79% and 57% respectively, which together favor a result above 1.5 goals. Holstein averages 6.0 shots on target and 15.73 shots per match with a 14% conversion rate; Kaiserslautern 3.57 shots on target and 11.0 shots with a 10% conversion rate; both teams have matches with both teams scoring in 67% and 43% of games this season, indicating realistic chances for multiple goals. Consequently the strongest and most justified selection is Over 1.5 (side: "over", line: 1.5), as the high expected total of 3.07 and seasonal 80%/79% figures for both teams provide a clear edge for this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Holstein Kiel led at the break in 6 of 15 matches this season (40%) and won 67% of fixtures (10 of 15), indicating strong home effectiveness. The hosts score an average of 2.20 goals per game versus Kaiserslautern’s 1.14, have a higher xG of 1.77 compared to 1.20 and register on average 6.0 shots on target versus the visitors’ 3.57, so their chance-creation advantage is clear. At Half-Time Kiel averages 0.93 goals scored and 0.47 conceded, while in the second half they score 1.27 and concede 0.67, suggesting a pronounced ability to convert draws at the break into wins after the interval. On this basis the most likely scenario is a HT/FT lead at the break and final victory for the home side (1/1, 33%), with the second-strongest signal being a draw at the break followed by a Kiel turnaround to win (X/1, 27%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Holstein Kiel | Kaiserslautern | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kaiserslautern is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.8 pts / game - Kaiserslautern
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kaiserslautern is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.69 goals / game - Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.48 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.41 goals / game - Kaiserslautern
Holstein Kiel scores in 83% of games (24 of 29 meczów), while Kaiserslautern keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
Kaiserslautern scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
Over / Under - Kaiserslautern
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kaiserslautern is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.38 pts / game - Kaiserslautern
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kaiserslautern - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Holstein Kiel
Kaiserslautern
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Holstein Kiel | Liga | Kaiserslautern | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.72 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 23% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Holstein Kiel's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Kaiserslautern. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Kaiserslautern?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 3:0 Kaiserslautern. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Kaiserslautern?
Holstein Kiel score 1.24 goals per game on average and Kaiserslautern 1.69. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 55% of Kaiserslautern's.
What form are Holstein Kiel and Kaiserslautern in?
Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kaiserslautern 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Kaiserslautern?
The statistical background for Holstein Kiel vs Kaiserslautern — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.