Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg: match statistics
Holstein Kiel sits bottom of the table, yet they perform significantly better at their home stadium than Nürnberg does on the road. The hosts win 33% of their home games with a +1 goal difference, whereas the visitors triumph in only 17% of their away matches with a disastrous -9 goal difference. Both teams are enduring a poor streak – Kiel is winless in their last 5 matches (0.2 PPG), and Nürnberg is only slightly better (0.8 PPG). The xG stats are balanced, and Nürnberg has not kept a single clean sheet away from home, indicating defensive vulnerability. Considering Kiel's home advantage, the poor form of both sides, and their evenly matched offensive metrics, a draw or a narrow home victory appears to be the most likely outcome.
Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Holstein Kiel played against Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Holstein Kiel has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Nürnberg has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Holstein Kiel scores 1.16 goals per game and allows 1.48. Nürnberg scores 1.24 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Holstein Kiel's games and 64% of Nürnberg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 56%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nürnberg has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.29 per game. Holstein Kiel takes 11.9 shots per game, while Nürnberg takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Holstein Kiel leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Nürnberg leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.76 after halftime.
When the teams score
Holstein Kiel's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Nürnberg, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Holstein Kiel sits bottom of the table, yet they perform significantly better at their home stadium than Nürnberg does on the road. The hosts win 33% of their home games with a +1 goal difference, whereas the visitors triumph in only 17% of their away matches with a disastrous -9 goal difference. Both teams are enduring a poor streak – Kiel is winless in their last 5 matches (0.2 PPG), and Nürnberg is only slightly better (0.8 PPG). The xG stats are balanced, and Nürnberg has not kept a single clean sheet away from home, indicating defensive vulnerability. Considering Kiel's home advantage, the poor form of both sides, and their evenly matched offensive metrics, a draw or a narrow home victory appears to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Holstein Kiel | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nürnberg is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 0.8 pts / game - Nürnberg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nürnberg is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.16 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.24 goals / game - Nürnberg
Nürnberg is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.48 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.4 goals / game - Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 meczów).
Nürnberg scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
Over / Under - Nürnberg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 24%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Holstein Kiel
Nürnberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Holstein Kiel | Liga | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.64 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 85% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- NürnbergYellow cardTarek Buchmann
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Holstein Kiel's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Nürnberg. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 2:3 Nürnberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg?
Holstein Kiel score 1.16 goals per game on average and Nürnberg 1.24. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 64% of Nürnberg's.
What form are Holstein Kiel and Nürnberg in?
Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Nürnberg 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.