Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn: match statistics
Paderborn show significantly better away form with a 63% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +8 on the road. Holstein Kiel are only in 11th place in the table and in their last 5 matches, they have averaged just 1.2 points per game, winning only once. The xG stats also favor the visitors – Paderborn average 1.63 xG away from home with only 1.15 xG Against, while Holstein have a balanced xG ratio (1.47 vs 1.44). Paderborn convert chances more efficiently (11% conversion rate vs 8% for the hosts) and keep clean sheets more often (50% vs 25%). Furthermore, the visitors have a better average of goals scored away (1.63) than Holstein at home (1.13), along with a more solid defense. All key indicators point to Paderborn's advantage, making an away win the most likely scenario for this match.
Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Holstein Kiel play Paderborn in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 18 January 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Holstein Kiel: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Paderborn: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Holstein Kiel scores 1.29 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Paderborn scores 1.74 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Holstein Kiel 62%, Paderborn 68%. Over 2.5: Holstein Kiel 53%, Paderborn 62%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Paderborn has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.31. Holstein Kiel: 12.0 shots per match, Paderborn: 15.3.
Match halves
Holstein Kiel: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.68. Paderborn: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Holstein Kiel: 31-45+ (11 goals). Paderborn: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Paderborn show significantly better away form with a 63% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +8 on the road. Holstein Kiel are only in 11th place in the table and in their last 5 matches, they have averaged just 1.2 points per game, winning only once. The xG stats also favor the visitors – Paderborn average 1.63 xG away from home with only 1.15 xG Against, while Holstein have a balanced xG ratio (1.47 vs 1.44). Paderborn convert chances more efficiently (11% conversion rate vs 8% for the hosts) and keep clean sheets more often (50% vs 25%). Furthermore, the visitors have a better average of goals scored away (1.63) than Holstein at home (1.13), along with a more solid defense. All key indicators point to Paderborn's advantage, making an away win the most likely scenario for this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Holstein Kiel | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Holstein Kiel is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 1 pts / match - Paderborn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.74 goals / match - Paderborn
Paderborn is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.32 goals / match - Paderborn
Holstein Kiel scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Paderborn scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Holstein Kiel
Over / Under — Paderborn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.53 pts / match - Paderborn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Holstein Kiel
Paderborn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Holstein Kiel | Liga | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Holstein Kiel 0 - 0 - 1 Paderborn. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 2:0 Paderborn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn?
Holstein Kiel score 1.29 goals per game on average and Paderborn 1.74. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 68% of Paderborn's.
What form are Holstein Kiel and Paderborn in?
Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Paderborn 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.