Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn: match statistics
Paderborn show significantly better away form with a 63% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +8 on the road. Holstein Kiel are only in 11th place in the table and in their last 5 matches, they have averaged just 1.2 points per game, winning only once. The xG stats also favor the visitors – Paderborn average 1.63 xG away from home with only 1.15 xG Against, while Holstein have a balanced xG ratio (1.47 vs 1.44). Paderborn convert chances more efficiently (11% conversion rate vs 8% for the hosts) and keep clean sheets more often (50% vs 25%). Furthermore, the visitors have a better average of goals scored away (1.63) than Holstein at home (1.13), along with a more solid defense. All key indicators point to Paderborn's advantage, making an away win the most likely scenario for this match.
Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Holstein Kiel played against Paderborn in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 18, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Holstein Kiel has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Paderborn has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Holstein Kiel scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.29. Paderborn scores 1.65 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Holstein Kiel's games and 59% of Paderborn's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 59%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paderborn has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.36 per game. Holstein Kiel takes 12.7 shots per game, while Paderborn takes 15.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Holstein Kiel leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Paderborn leads at halftime in 35% and scores 1.12 after halftime.
When the teams score
Holstein Kiel's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Paderborn, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn show significantly better away form with a 63% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +8 on the road. Holstein Kiel are only in 11th place in the table and in their last 5 matches, they have averaged just 1.2 points per game, winning only once. The xG stats also favor the visitors – Paderborn average 1.63 xG away from home with only 1.15 xG Against, while Holstein have a balanced xG ratio (1.47 vs 1.44). Paderborn convert chances more efficiently (11% conversion rate vs 8% for the hosts) and keep clean sheets more often (50% vs 25%). Furthermore, the visitors have a better average of goals scored away (1.63) than Holstein at home (1.13), along with a more solid defense. All key indicators point to Paderborn's advantage, making an away win the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Holstein Kiel | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Holstein Kiel is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 0.8 pts / game - Paderborn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.18 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.65 goals / game - Paderborn
Paderborn is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.06 goals / game - Paderborn
Holstein Kiel scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 meczów), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
Paderborn scores in 88% of games (15 of 17 meczów), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
Over / Under - Paderborn
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.41 pts / game - Paderborn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Holstein Kiel
Paderborn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Holstein Kiel | Liga | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.47 | 2.80 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Holstein Kiel's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Paderborn. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 2:0 Paderborn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn?
Holstein Kiel score 1.18 goals per game on average and Paderborn 1.65. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 59% of Paderborn's.
What form are Holstein Kiel and Paderborn in?
Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paderborn 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.