Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04: match statistics
Schalke 04 displays significantly better form and league position (2nd place) compared to Holstein Kiel (13th place). The visitors are characterized by a high percentage of clean sheets away (55%) and a solid defence, conceding an average of only 0.73 goals per away match. Holstein Kiel is going through a weaker period, winning only once in their last five matches, resulting in a low PPG (0.8). Schalke has a positive away goal difference (+4) and a higher win rate (45% of away matches won), while the hosts win only 40% of their home matches. The xG statistics also speak in favour of Schalke, who have a better balance between attack and defence. Considering all factors, I expect an away win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to relatively balanced shooting and possession statistics.
Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Holstein Kiel played against Schalke 04 in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Holstein Kiel has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Schalke 04 has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Holstein Kiel scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.38. Schalke 04 scores 1.24 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Holstein Kiel's games and 38% of Schalke 04's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 43%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Schalke 04 has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.30 per game. Holstein Kiel takes 12.1 shots per game, while Schalke 04 takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Holstein Kiel leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Schalke 04 leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Holstein Kiel's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Schalke 04, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Schalke 04 displays significantly better form and league position (2nd place) compared to Holstein Kiel (13th place). The visitors are characterized by a high percentage of clean sheets away (55%) and a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.73 goals per away match. Holstein Kiel is going through a weaker period, winning only once in their last five matches, resulting in a low PPG (0.8). Schalke has a positive away goal difference (+4) and a higher win rate (45% of away matches won), while the hosts win only 40% of their home matches. The xG statistics also speak in favor of Schalke, who have a better balance between attack and defense. Considering all factors, I expect an away win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to relatively balanced shooting and possession statistics.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Holstein Kiel | Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Holstein Kiel is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 0.6 pts / game - Schalke 04
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Schalke 04 is 82% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Holstein Kiel · 0.76 goals / game - Schalke 04
Holstein Kiel scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 meczów), while Schalke 04 keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 meczów).
Schalke 04 scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
Over / Under - Schalke 04
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Schalke 04 is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Holstein Kiel · 1.57 pts / game - Schalke 04
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 29%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Schalke 04 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Holstein Kiel
Schalke 04
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Holstein Kiel | Liga | Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.62 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 58% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 84% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Holstein Kiel's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Schalke 04. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 1:2 Schalke 04. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04?
Holstein Kiel score 1.24 goals per game on average and Schalke 04 1.24. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 38% of Schalke 04's.
What form are Holstein Kiel and Schalke 04 in?
Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Schalke 04 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


