Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueHalkyn RoadData current as of September 25, 2026

Holywell vs Briton Ferry: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Holywell vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Holywell plays Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026. Venue: Halkyn Road.

Recent form

Holywell has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Briton Ferry has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Holywell scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 3.50. Briton Ferry scores 0.90 and allows 1.90. Games in this league average 3.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 80% of Holywell's games and 60% of Briton Ferry's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 50%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Briton Ferry has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.12 per game. Holywell takes 9.7 shots per game, while Briton Ferry takes 12.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Holywell leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Briton Ferry leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.40 after halftime.

When the teams score

Holywell's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Briton Ferry, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.34 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.03)
(4.10)
(1.67)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

HolywellBriton Ferry
1.1Goals scored / game0.9
HolywellBriton Ferry
3.5Goals allowed / game1.9
HolywellBriton Ferry
42%Average possession49%
HolywellBriton Ferry
3.7Shots on target / game4.1
HolywellBriton Ferry

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.7Shots per game12.3
HolywellBriton Ferry
3.7Shots on target4.1
HolywellBriton Ferry
11.3%Shot conversion7.3%
HolywellBriton Ferry
42%Possession49%
HolywellBriton Ferry
1.12xG for1.54
HolywellBriton Ferry
1.86xG against1.65
HolywellBriton Ferry

Shooting quality

Holywell: BalancedBriton Ferry: Balanced
HolywellBriton Ferry
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Holywell
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W10% D90% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-9
0.10 pts / game · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Briton Ferry
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
20% W20% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-6
0.80 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Holywell is 22% better for: goals scored per game.

1.1 goals / game - Holywell · 0.9 goals / game - Briton Ferry

Briton Ferry is 84% better for: goals allowed per game.

3.5 goals / game - Holywell · 1.9 goals / game - Briton Ferry

Holywell scoring profile: very strong

Holywell scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

Briton Ferry scoring profile: very strong

Briton Ferry scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Holywell keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).

11Goals scored (season)9
HolywellBriton Ferry
35Goals conceded (season)19
HolywellBriton Ferry
4.6Average goals per game2.8
HolywellBriton Ferry
4Goals scored (last 5)5
HolywellBriton Ferry
15Goals conceded (last 5)13
HolywellBriton Ferry

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal70%
HolywellBriton Ferry
20%2 goals20%
HolywellBriton Ferry
10%3 goals0%
HolywellBriton Ferry
0%4 goals0%
HolywellBriton Ferry

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal90%
HolywellBriton Ferry
80%2 goals50%
HolywellBriton Ferry
70%3 goals40%
HolywellBriton Ferry
40%4 goals10%
HolywellBriton Ferry

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time20%
HolywellBriton Ferry
20%BTTS in both halves0%
HolywellBriton Ferry
20%Scored in both halves20%
HolywellBriton Ferry

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
HolywellBriton Ferry
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
HolywellBriton Ferry
60%BTTS - last 580%
HolywellBriton Ferry

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
HolywellBriton Ferry
70%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
HolywellBriton Ferry
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
HolywellBriton Ferry

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
HolywellBriton Ferry
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
HolywellBriton Ferry
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
HolywellBriton Ferry

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Briton Ferry is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.3 pts / game - Holywell · 1.2 pts / game - Briton Ferry

Holywell - half-time state
0% leading30% draw70% trailing
Briton Ferry - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.3Points per game (1st half)1.2
HolywellBriton Ferry
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
HolywellBriton Ferry
2.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
HolywellBriton Ferry
2.6Average goals (1st half)1.3
HolywellBriton Ferry
10%Clean sheet before half-time50%
HolywellBriton Ferry
50%No goal before half-time50%
HolywellBriton Ferry

After half-time (2nd half)

0.6Points per game (2nd half)0.7
HolywellBriton Ferry
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
HolywellBriton Ferry
1.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.1
HolywellBriton Ferry
2Average goals (2nd half)1.5
HolywellBriton Ferry
30%Clean sheet after half-time30%
HolywellBriton Ferry
50%No goal after half-time60%
HolywellBriton Ferry

Holywell - second-half results

0% W60% D40% L
3
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.30
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.7

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Briton Ferry - second-half results

20% W10% D70% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Holywell - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.200.80
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game2.01.0
Average goals per game2.21.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-9-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Briton Ferry - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.60
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.21.4
Average goals per game1.62.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Holywell
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
12
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
7
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Briton Ferry
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
4
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
6
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Holywell

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
232%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Briton Ferry

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

HolywellLigaBriton Ferry
Average goals per game▲ 4.603.34▼ 2.80
Both teams scored▲ 80%52%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%61%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 0%25%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%80%• 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 70%85%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / game
1.51
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Holywell and Briton Ferry play?

Holywell face Briton Ferry on September 26, 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Halkyn Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Holywell vs Briton Ferry?

Holywell score 1.10 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 0.90. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Holywell's matches and 60% of Briton Ferry's.

What form are Holywell and Briton Ferry in?

Over the last 5 games Holywell have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Briton Ferry 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holywell vs Briton Ferry?

The statistical background for Holywell vs Briton Ferry — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.