Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia: match statistics
Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Homeboyz play Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Homeboyz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Gor Mahia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Homeboyz scores 1.38 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Gor Mahia scores 1.55 and concedes 0.66. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Homeboyz 52%, Gor Mahia 41%. Over 2.5: Homeboyz 38%, Gor Mahia 41%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Homeboyz has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.43. Homeboyz: 10.3 shots per match, Gor Mahia: 9.8.
Match halves
Homeboyz: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.24. Gor Mahia: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.28.
Goals by minute
Homeboyz: 0-15 (30 goals). Gor Mahia: 0-15 (33 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an away win (Gor Mahia). Season-to-date they have 17 wins vs Homeboyz’s 11 and only 4 losses compared to the hosts’ 6. The decisive factor is the visitors’ defense — Gor Mahia concede just 0.62 goals per away match and keep a clean sheet in 38% of away games, whereas Homeboyz at home concede 1.14 goals on average and record clean sheets in only 21% of matches. Offensively the hosts generate more high-quality opportunities at home (1.86 goals per game, average xG 1.68 and 5.64 shots on target) and rarely fail to score (only 7% of matches without a goal), while Gor Mahia away average 1.62 goals, xG 1.42 and have 15% of away matches goalless. In the last 5 fixtures both teams have 3 wins (form 3-1-1) and average 2 points per game in that span, but Gor Mahia show a superior goal differential (+13 away vs +10 for the hosts). Considering the stronger defense (19 goals conceded this season vs 30) and the higher away win rate (62% vs Homeboyz’s 43% home wins), I assign the visitors a 50% chance to win, draw 25% and home win 25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Homeboyz | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gor Mahia is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Homeboyz · 1.6 pts / match - Gor Mahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Homeboyz · 1.55 goals / match - Gor Mahia
Gor Mahia is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Homeboyz · 0.66 goals / match - Gor Mahia
Homeboyz scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 48% (14 of 29 matches).
Gor Mahia scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Homeboyz
Over / Under — Gor Mahia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Homeboyz · 1.41 pts / match - Gor Mahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Homeboyz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (30 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (33 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Homeboyz
Gor Mahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Homeboyz | Liga | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.48 | 2.01 | ▲ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 43% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 33% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 36% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | • 21% | 21% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 24% | 22% | ▲ 28% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Homeboyz 0 - 0 - 1 Gor Mahia. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Homeboyz 0:1 Gor Mahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia?
Homeboyz score 1.38 goals per game on average and Gor Mahia 1.55. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Homeboyz's matches and 41% of Gor Mahia's.
What form are Homeboyz and Gor Mahia in?
Over the last 5 games Homeboyz have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Gor Mahia 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.