Homeboyz vs TransMara Sugar: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced rivalry with a slight inclination towards a draw. Homeboyz presents a high percentage of draws in home matches (56%), and their recent form includes 3 draws in 5 matches. TransMara Sugar is also characterized by defensive play on the road with 60% draws and a solid defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per match). Homeboyz holds a slight advantage in possession (52% vs 44%) and scoring (1.67 vs 1.2 goals per match), yet their recent home form is unstable (many draws). TransMara shows better overall form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG vs 1.2 PPG) and an impressive 40% clean sheets away. Considering the tendency of both teams to draw and the even xG values, the most probable result is a sharing of points.
Homeboyz vs TransMara Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Homeboyz played against TransMara Sugar in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Homeboyz has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. TransMara Sugar has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Homeboyz scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.17. TransMara Sugar scores 0.76 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 1.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Homeboyz's games and 35% of TransMara Sugar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 24%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Homeboyz has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.46 per game. Homeboyz takes 9.2 shots per game, while TransMara Sugar takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Homeboyz leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. TransMara Sugar leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Homeboyz's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (12 goals). For TransMara Sugar, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.98 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced rivalry with a slight inclination towards a draw. Homeboyz presents a high percentage of draws in home matches (56%), and their recent form includes 3 draws in 5 matches. TransMara Sugar is also characterized by defensive play on the road with 60% draws and a solid defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per match). Homeboyz holds a slight advantage in possession (52% vs 44%) and scoring (1.67 vs 1.2 goals per match), yet their recent home form is unstable (many draws). TransMara shows better overall form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG vs 1.2 PPG) and an impressive 40% clean sheets away. Considering the tendency of both teams to draw and the even xG values, the most probable result is a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Homeboyz | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
TransMara Sugar is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Homeboyz · 1 pts / game - TransMara Sugar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Homeboyz is 61% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Homeboyz · 0.76 goals / game - TransMara Sugar
TransMara Sugar is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Homeboyz · 0.88 goals / game - TransMara Sugar
Homeboyz scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).
TransMara Sugar scores in 53% of games (9 of 17 meczów), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Homeboyz
Over / Under - TransMara Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Homeboyz is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Homeboyz · 0.88 pts / game - TransMara Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Homeboyz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
TransMara Sugar - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Homeboyz
TransMara Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Homeboyz | Liga | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.39 | 1.98 | ▼ 1.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 43% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 36% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 39% | 34% | • 35% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Homeboyz's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against TransMara Sugar. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Homeboyz vs TransMara Sugar?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Homeboyz 3:3 TransMara Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Homeboyz vs TransMara Sugar?
Homeboyz score 1.22 goals per game on average and TransMara Sugar 0.76. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Homeboyz's matches and 35% of TransMara Sugar's.
What form are Homeboyz and TransMara Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games Homeboyz have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and TransMara Sugar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Homeboyz vs TransMara Sugar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Homeboyz vs TransMara Sugar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.