Houston Dynamo FC II vs Colorado Rapids II: match statistics
Houston Dynamo FC II vs Colorado Rapids II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Houston Dynamo FC II played against Colorado Rapids II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on July 18, 2026. Venue: Aviva Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Houston Dynamo FC II has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Colorado Rapids II has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Houston Dynamo FC II scores 2.31 goals per game and allows 0.88. Colorado Rapids II scores 0.83 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Houston Dynamo FC II's games and 56% of Colorado Rapids II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 44%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Houston Dynamo FC II has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.38 per game. Houston Dynamo FC II takes 14.8 shots per game, while Colorado Rapids II takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Houston Dynamo FC II leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.31 goals per game after halftime. Colorado Rapids II leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.39 after halftime.
When the teams score
Houston Dynamo FC II's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Colorado Rapids II, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Houston Dynamo FC II hold a clear advantage at home: they have won 100% of home matches, averaging 3.17 goals scored and only 0.17 conceded per game, while keeping 83% clean sheets. Colorado Rapids II sit 29th, with just 2 wins this season, no away victories (0%), and concede an average of 2.13 goals on the road with 50% of away matches without scoring. The quality gap in chances is evident: hosts average 16.17 shots with 6.83 on target and a 20% conversion rate, while visitors average 10.75 shots with 4.63 on target and roughly 7% conversion; home xG for Houston is 1.86 versus 1.42 xG for Colorado away. In the last 5 matches the hosts have 2 wins and 3 losses (1.2 PPG), and the visitors 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (1.4 PPG), however the season-long goal difference 37:14 for Houston vs 15:36 for Colorado and defensive differential (+18 at home vs -11 away) strongly favor the hosts. Considering the zero percent home loss rate, Houston’s scoring efficiency and Colorado’s weak away defense, I assess the probability of a Houston win at 80%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 8%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes appears more probable: seasonal BTTS rates are 60% for the home side and 50% for the away, versus a league average of 61%. In the last 5 matches the home team has BTTS at 80% compared to 40% for the away team; Houston in those five games scored 9 and conceded 9 (avg 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded), while Colorado scored 5 and conceded 6 (avg 1.0 and 1.2). Seasonal goals averages highlight defensive issues: the home side concedes 1.9 goals per game, the away side 2.13, and Colorado has 0% clean sheets and 36 goals conceded this season, increasing the likelihood of conceding. xG and shot metrics confirm both teams create chances (attacking xG 1.35 vs 1.42, xG conceded 1.86 vs 1.54, and average shots on target 3.9 and 4.63), with shot conversion rates at 8% vs 7%. Considering 60%/50% seasonal BTTS, 80% BTTS for the home team in the last 5, and 0% clean sheets for the away team, I assign 70% to 'Yes' and 30% to 'No' as the most justified outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Analysis based on the last 5 matches and xG shows Houston has xG = 1.94 over the last 5 games, while Colorado has xG = 1.36, giving combined expected goals of 1.94 + 1.36 = 3.30. Houston averages 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded in the last 5 matches, whereas Colorado averages 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded, which supports a tendency towards goal-filled matches. Seasonal metrics reinforce this: Over 1.5 occurred in 80% of Houston’s games and 100% of Colorado’s games, with the league average at 3.24 goals per match. A Poisson model with λ=3.30 yields roughly an 84% probability for Over 1.5 goals, about 64% for Over 2.5 goals and about 42% for Over 3.5 goals, therefore the strongest and most reliable selection is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), scoring an average of 1.0 goals before half-time while the visitors averaged 0.0. Season-to-date the home team averages 1.2 points at half-time versus 0.5 for the away side, and on average score 0.5 and concede 0.7 by the break, which confirms a home advantage at half-time. However, after the break the home team concedes an average of 1.6 goals in the second half over the last 5 matches, while the visitors earn an average of 2.0 points in second halves and win 60% of second halves, increasing the likelihood of a turnaround by the away team. xG is similar (1.35 for the hosts vs 1.42 for the visitors) and shots on target are 3.9 vs 4.63, while season BTTS is 60% for the home side and 50% for the away side, which supports a full-time draw scenario. Therefore the most probable outcome is 1/X (home leading at half-time, draw after 90 minutes), with 1/1 and 1/2 as secondary options due to the hosts' vulnerability to conceding after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Houston Dynamo FC II | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Colorado Rapids II is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Houston Dynamo FC II · 1.4 pts / game - Colorado Rapids II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 178% better for: goals scored per game.
2.31 goals / game - Houston Dynamo FC II · 0.83 goals / game - Colorado Rapids II
Houston Dynamo FC II is 127% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Houston Dynamo FC II · 2 goals / game - Colorado Rapids II
Houston Dynamo FC II scores in 100% of games (16 of 16 meczów), while Colorado Rapids II keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 meczów).
Colorado Rapids II scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Houston Dynamo FC II keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo FC II
Over / Under - Colorado Rapids II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 118% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.94 pts / game - Houston Dynamo FC II · 0.89 pts / game - Colorado Rapids II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Houston Dynamo FC II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 69%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Colorado Rapids II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Houston Dynamo FC II
Colorado Rapids II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Houston Dynamo FC II | Liga | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.19 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Houston Dynamo FC II's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Colorado Rapids II. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Houston Dynamo FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Houston Dynamo FC II 2:1 Colorado Rapids II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Houston Dynamo FC II and Colorado Rapids II?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Houston Dynamo FC II won 3, Colorado Rapids II won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Houston Dynamo FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
Houston Dynamo FC II score 2.31 goals per game on average and Colorado Rapids II 0.83. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Houston Dynamo FC II's matches and 56% of Colorado Rapids II's.
What form are Houston Dynamo FC II and Colorado Rapids II in?
Over the last 5 games Houston Dynamo FC II have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Colorado Rapids II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Houston Dynamo FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.