Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids: match statistics
Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Houston Dynamo played against Colorado Rapids in MLS (United States). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Houston Dynamo has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Colorado Rapids has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Houston Dynamo scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 2.00. Colorado Rapids scores 2.20 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Houston Dynamo's games and 70% of Colorado Rapids's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 70%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Houston Dynamo has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.39 per game. Houston Dynamo takes 13.8 shots per game, while Colorado Rapids takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Houston Dynamo leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Colorado Rapids leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Houston Dynamo's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Colorado Rapids, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 8.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Houston Dynamo win; the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and average 2.4 points per game in that span, whereas Colorado Rapids have averaged 1 point per game over their last five and have won only 1 of 5. Houston at home averages 13 shots per game with 3.8 on target and a 9% conversion rate, translating to 1.2 goals per game and home xG 1.39; Colorado away averages 9.5 shots with 3.83 on target, a 14% conversion and 1.33 goals per game with xG 1.12. Defensively the hosts also look better in form — Houston conceded 4 goals in the last 5 matches versus 8 conceded by the Rapids in the same period, and average 1.2 goals conceded at home compared to Colorado’s 2.0 conceded on the road. Although the Rapids dominate possession (57% vs 39%), they create fewer chances (9.5 vs 13) and have a high away loss rate (67%), suggesting possession superiority isn’t translating into efficiency; the sum of these indicators favors a Houston victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high season BTTS rates: Houston 75% and Colorado 67%, exceeding the league average of 57%, indicating both sides have historically scored frequently in matches. Houston generates an average xG 1.79 at home versus Colorado's xG 1.12 away, and the average xG against (1.46 vs 1.49) suggests both defenses concede around 1.5 xG per game. Season goals conceded averages show the home side concedes 1.5 goals and the visitors concede 2.0 goals, and clean sheet percentages are low (25% and 17%), which increases the likelihood of goals from both teams. In the shorter form window, Houston's last 5 matches show a lower BTTS 40% and they concede an average 0.8 goals, whereas Colorado's last 5 matches concede 1.6 goals and score 1.2, meaning opponents more often concede goals. Overall the strongest signal is BTTS = Yes (strong season rates 75%/67%, high xG and low clean sheet percentages), therefore I assess 78% for Yes and 22% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Houston Dynamo at home average 3.5 goals scored and have xG 1.79, while Colorado Rapids have xG 1.12; combining the home xG with opponent xG against yields an expected 1.64 goals for Houston and 1.29 for Colorado, totaling approximately 2.93 goals. Seasonal metrics show Over 2.5 occurs in 75% of Houston matches and 67% of Colorado matches, with a league Over 2.5 rate of 63%, which strongly supports a bet on Over 2.5 goals. Additionally, the home side averages 16.25 shots (6.75 on target) with a 22% conversion, versus 9.5 shots (3.83 on target) and a 14% conversion for Colorado, increasing the likelihood of goals particularly from Houston. Since the projected total goals (2.93) is clearly above 2.5 but below 3.5, the strongest signal is Over 2.5; Over 1.5 is virtually guaranteed (seasonal 100%/83%), while Over 3.5 remains riskier due to total xG below 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Houston is the clear favorite: they have a 75.0% season win rate versus Colorado’s 17.0% and score an average of 3.5 goals per match compared to 1.33 for their opponents, with an average of 2.25 points per home match versus 0.67 away for the Rapids. At Half-Time Houston led in 3 of 4 matches (75.0%) and average 1.0 goal by the break while conceding 0.5, whereas Colorado averages 0.67 goals by the break and concedes 1.0. Shot and xG metrics confirm the home side’s superiority: Houston averages 16.25 shots and 6.75 SOT with an xG of 1.79 versus the Rapids’ 9.5 shots, 3.83 SOT and xG 1.12, with conversion rates of 22% vs 14%. Houston maintains pressure in the second half (averaging 2.5 goals in the second half vs 0.67 for the Rapids), which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead. Therefore I predict an HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest scenario and assign it a 60% probability, with a lower risk of a draw or a Rapids turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Houston Dynamo | Colorado Rapids | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Houston Dynamo is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Houston Dynamo · 0.8 pts / game - Colorado Rapids
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colorado Rapids is 65% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Houston Dynamo · 2.2 goals / game - Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Houston Dynamo · 1.8 goals / game - Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 meczów), while Colorado Rapids keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 meczów).
Colorado Rapids scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 meczów), while Houston Dynamo keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo
Over / Under - Colorado Rapids
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colorado Rapids is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Houston Dynamo · 1.4 pts / game - Colorado Rapids
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Houston Dynamo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Colorado Rapids - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Houston Dynamo | Liga | Colorado Rapids | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.33 | 3.20 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 61% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Houston Dynamo's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Colorado Rapids. Games average 8.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?
The MLS match finished Houston Dynamo 1:0 Colorado Rapids. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?
Houston Dynamo score 1.33 goals per game on average and Colorado Rapids 2.20. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Houston Dynamo's matches and 70% of Colorado Rapids's.
What form are Houston Dynamo and Colorado Rapids in?
Over the last 5 games Houston Dynamo have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Colorado Rapids 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?
The statistical background for Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.