United States - MLSShell Energy StadiumData current as of October 21, 2026

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Houston Dynamo plays Minnesota United in MLS (United States). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Shell Energy Stadium.

Recent form

Houston Dynamo has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Minnesota United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Houston Dynamo scores 1.37 goals per game and allows 1.30. Minnesota United scores 1.57 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Houston Dynamo's games and 73% of Minnesota United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 67%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Minnesota United has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.43 per game. Houston Dynamo takes 13.1 shots per game, while Minnesota United takes 13.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Houston Dynamo leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Minnesota United leads at halftime in 20% and scores 1.03 after halftime.

When the teams score

Houston Dynamo's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Minnesota United, it is minutes 61-75 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

MLS games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.00)
(3.80)
(3.30)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.37Goals scored / game1.57
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.3Goals allowed / game1.83
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
48%Average possession46%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
4.43Shots on target / game4.97
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.07Shots per game13.87
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
4.43Shots on target4.97
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
10.5%Shot conversion11.3%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
48%Possession46%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.43xG for1.57
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.49xG against1.47
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

Shooting quality

Houston Dynamo: BalancedMinnesota United: Balanced
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Minnesota United is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Houston Dynamo · 1 pts / game - Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo
DLDDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
43% W27% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-9
1.57 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-3
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Minnesota United
LLDDW
Season result split
27% W33% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-12
1.13 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Minnesota United is 15% better for: goals scored per game.

1.37 goals / game - Houston Dynamo · 1.57 goals / game - Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.3 goals / game - Houston Dynamo · 1.83 goals / game - Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo scoring profile: very strong

Houston Dynamo scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 games), while Minnesota United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 games).

Minnesota United scoring profile: very strong

Minnesota United scores in 83% of games (25 of 30 games), while Houston Dynamo keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 games).

41Goals scored (season)47
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
39Goals conceded (season)55
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
2.67Average goals per game3.4
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
9Goals scored (last 5)10
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
11Goals conceded (last 5)12
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal83%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
43%2 goals47%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
17%3 goals17%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
3%4 goals7%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal83%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
40%2 goals57%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
13%3 goals23%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
7%4 goals10%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time27%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
13%Scored in both halves17%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Houston Dynamo is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / game - Houston Dynamo · 0.87 pts / game - Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo - half-time state
37% leading37% draw27% trailing
Minnesota United - half-time state
20% leading27% draw53% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per game (1st half)0.87
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.53
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)1.03
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.57
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
60%Clean sheet before half-time30%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
60%No goal before half-time63%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per game (2nd half)1.53
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)1.03
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.83
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
57%Clean sheet after half-time37%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United
53%No goal after half-time37%
Houston DynamoMinnesota United

Houston Dynamo - second-half results

33% W37% D30% L
44
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Minnesota United - second-half results

37% W43% D20% L
26
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Houston Dynamo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game1.00.8
Goals allowed / game1.01.2
Average goals per game2.02.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Minnesota United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.00
Goals scored / game0.41.6
Goals allowed / game1.41.0
Average goals per game1.82.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-5+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Houston Dynamo
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
6
6
16-30
12
6
31-45
6
6
46-60
8
3
61-75
8
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Minnesota United
ScoredConceded
4
12
0-15
4
12
16-30
8
7
31-45
9
8
46-60
13
6
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.04
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Houston Dynamo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 2% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Minnesota United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Houston DynamoLigaMinnesota United
Average goals per game▼ 2.673.25▲ 3.40
Both teams scored▼ 43%64%▲ 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%64%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 37%20%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%78%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%82%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.25
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / game
1.41
Away goals / game
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Houston Dynamo's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Minnesota United. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United play?

Houston Dynamo face Minnesota United on October 25, 2026 in MLS at Shell Energy Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United?

Houston Dynamo score 1.37 goals per game on average and Minnesota United 1.57. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Houston Dynamo's matches and 73% of Minnesota United's.

What form are Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United in?

Over the last 5 games Houston Dynamo have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Minnesota United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United?

The statistical background for Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.