Hull City vs Millwall: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely even, confirmed by the close position of both teams in the table (Hull 5th, Millwall 4th). Hull City presents solid home form with 50% wins at home, however, the last five overall matches brought only 1.2 points per game and a record of 2-0-3. Millwall is in clearly better disposition, earning 2.4 points per game in the last five meetings (4 wins, 1 loss) and possessing a better goal difference on the road (+2). A key factor is the visitors' defense – averaging just 1.12 goals conceded away and 35% clean sheets, which surpasses Hull's offensive capabilities (1.56 goals scored at home). Considering the hosts' weaker recent form and Millwall's solidity and momentum, I expect a fierce duel with a slight advantage for the visitors or a draw.
Hull City vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hull City played against Millwall in Championship (England). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Hull City has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Millwall has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Hull City scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 1.40. Millwall scores 1.34 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Hull City's games and 46% of Millwall's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 49%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Millwall has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.25 per game. Hull City takes 10.7 shots per game, while Millwall takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Hull City leads at halftime in 34% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Millwall leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hull City's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Millwall, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely even, confirmed by the close position of both teams in the table (Hull 5th, Millwall 4th). Hull City presents solid home form with 50% wins at home, however, the last five overall matches brought only 1.2 points per game and a record of 2-0-3. Millwall is in clearly better disposition, earning 2.4 points per game in the last five meetings (4 wins, 1 loss) and possessing a better goal difference on the road (+2). A key factor is the visitors' defense – averaging just 1.12 goals conceded away and 35% clean sheets, which surpasses Hull's offensive capabilities (1.56 goals scored at home). Considering the hosts' weaker recent form and Millwall's solidity and momentum, I expect a fierce duel with a slight advantage for the visitors or a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hull City | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Millwall is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Hull City · 2.4 pts / game - Millwall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hull City is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.6 goals / game - Hull City · 1.34 goals / game - Millwall
Millwall is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.4 goals / game - Hull City · 1.14 goals / game - Millwall
Hull City scores in 83% of games (29 of 35 meczów), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 40% (14 of 35 meczów).
Millwall scores in 80% of games (28 of 35 meczów), while Hull City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hull City
Over / Under - Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hull City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 51%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 51%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hull City
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hull City | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.49 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 51% | ▼ 49% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hull City's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Millwall. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hull City vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Hull City 1:3 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hull City vs Millwall?
Hull City score 1.60 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.34. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Hull City's matches and 46% of Millwall's.
What form are Hull City and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Hull City have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Millwall 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hull City vs Millwall?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hull City vs Millwall: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.