England - ChampionshipData current as of 23 July 2026

Hull City vs Watford: match statistics

Hull City crest
Hull City
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Watford crest
Watford
155%(2.30)
X27%(3.26)
218%(2.90)

Hull City demonstrates decidedly better form than Watford, earning 2.6 points per match in the last five meetings and recording a streak of four wins and one draw. Watford is in crisis – winless in the last five matches (0.4 points per match) and having conceded eight goals during this period. Hull holds the advantage at home with 57% wins at their own stadium and an average of 1.5 goals per match, while Watford wins only 23% of away matches and scores an average of 1.15 goals. Hull's positive goal difference (+1) in home matches contrasts with Watford's negative balance (-3) on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.26 vs 1.21), which, given the current form of both teams, makes a Hull victory the most probable scenario, although a draw is also realistic due to Watford's tendency to split points (38% draws away).

Hull City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hull City play Watford in Championship (England). The match date is 3 February 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Hull City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Watford: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hull City scores 1.49 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Watford scores 1.15 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hull City 61%, Watford 59%. Over 2.5: Hull City 61%, Watford 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Watford has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.28. Hull City: 11.1 shots per match, Watford: 13.8.

Match halves

Hull City: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.67. Watford: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Hull City: 31-45+ (15 goals). Watford: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Hull City demonstrates decidedly better form than Watford, earning 2.6 points per match in the last five meetings and recording a streak of four wins and one draw. Watford is in crisis – winless in the last five matches (0.4 points per match) and having conceded eight goals during this period. Hull holds the advantage at home with 57% wins at their own stadium and an average of 1.5 goals per match, while Watford wins only 23% of away matches and scores an average of 1.15 goals. Hull's positive goal difference (+1) in home matches contrasts with Watford's negative balance (-3) on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.26 vs 1.21), which, given the current form of both teams, makes a Hull victory the most probable scenario, although a draw is also realistic due to Watford's tendency to split points (38% draws away).

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
Hull CityWatford
6Shots16
Hull CityWatford
3Shots on target2
Hull CityWatford
0.85xG1.49
Hull CityWatford
6Corners5
Hull CityWatford
36Dangerous attacks48
Hull CityWatford
12Fouls9
Hull CityWatford
4Cards3
Hull CityWatford

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.49Goals scored / match1.15
Hull CityWatford
1.35Goals conceded / match1.41
Hull CityWatford
45%Average possession51%
Hull CityWatford
4.06Shots on target / match4.43
Hull CityWatford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.1Shots per match13.85
Hull CityWatford
4.06Shots on target4.43
Hull CityWatford
13.4%Shot conversion8.3%
Hull CityWatford
45%Possession51%
Hull CityWatford
1.28xG for1.49
Hull CityWatford
1.63xG against1.38
Hull CityWatford

Shooting quality

Hull City: Counter-attackingWatford: Balanced
Hull CityWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)37%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hull City
LWDWW
Season result split
47% W22% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-11-15
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-6-7
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Watford
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W33% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-15-17
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-8-11
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hull City is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.49 goals / match - Hull City · 1.15 goals / match - Watford

Hull City scoring profile: very strong

Hull City scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 15% (7 of 46 matches).

Watford scoring profile: strong

Watford scores in 70% of matches (32 of 46 matches), while Hull City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (14 of 49 matches).

73Goals scored (season)53
Hull CityWatford
66Goals conceded (season)65
Hull CityWatford
2.84Average goals in match2.57
Hull CityWatford
6Goals scored (last 5)1
Hull CityWatford
3Goals conceded (last 5)16
Hull CityWatford

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal70%
Hull CityWatford
49%2 goals35%
Hull CityWatford
16%3 goals11%
Hull CityWatford
2%4 goals0%
Hull CityWatford

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal85%
Hull CityWatford
43%2 goals39%
Hull CityWatford
16%3 goals11%
Hull CityWatford
4%4 goals4%
Hull CityWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time24%
Hull CityWatford
12%BTTS in both halves0%
Hull CityWatford
35%Scored in both halves17%
Hull CityWatford

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Hull CityWatford
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Hull CityWatford
40%BTTS - last 520%
Hull CityWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Hull CityWatford
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Hull CityWatford
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Hull CityWatford

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Hull CityWatford
49%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
Hull CityWatford
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Hull CityWatford

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hull City is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.51 pts / match - Hull City · 0.98 pts / match - Watford

Hull City - half-time state
35% leading47% draw18% trailing
Watford - half-time state
17% leading46% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.51Points per match (1st half)0.98
Hull CityWatford
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.48
Hull CityWatford
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
Hull CityWatford
1.47Average goals (1st half)1.22
Hull CityWatford
55%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Hull CityWatford
39%No goal before half-time65%
Hull CityWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.41
Hull CityWatford
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Hull CityWatford
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Hull CityWatford
1.37Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Hull CityWatford
49%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Hull CityWatford
45%No goal after half-time48%
Hull CityWatford

Hull City - second-half results

33% W37% R31% P
74
Half-time points
40
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.51
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Watford - second-half results

37% W30% R33% P
45
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
65
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.98
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hull City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Watford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.00
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match1.41.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-7-8
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hull City
ScoredConceded
11
7
0-15
14
13
16-30
15
12
31-45
9
10
46-60
11
9
61-75
13
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Watford
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
6
13
16-30
11
12
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
8
61-75
14
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hull City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Hull CityLigaWatford
Average goals in match 2.842.59 2.57
Both teams scored 61%57% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%50% 48%
Clean sheets 29%25% 15%
Goal before half-time 76%71% 70%
Goal after half-time 82%76% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hull City 0 - 0 - 1 Watford. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Watford FC
2 : 1
Hull City AFC

FAQ

What was the result of Hull City vs Watford?

The Championship match finished Hull City 0:0 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hull City vs Watford?

Hull City score 1.49 goals per game on average and Watford 1.15. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Hull City's matches and 59% of Watford's.

What form are Hull City and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Hull City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Watford 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hull City vs Watford?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.