Hwaseong vs Busan I'Park: match statistics
Hwaseong vs Busan I'Park: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hwaseong play Busan I'Park in K League 2 (South Korea). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 09:30. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Hwaseong: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Busan I'Park: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hwaseong scores 1.53 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Busan I'Park scores 2.06 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hwaseong 53%, Busan I'Park 71%. Over 2.5: Hwaseong 53%, Busan I'Park 65%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Busan I'Park has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.47. Hwaseong: 11.8 shots per match, Busan I'Park: 13.0.
Match halves
Hwaseong: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.88. Busan I'Park: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.12.
Goals by minute
Hwaseong: 46-60 (6 goals). Busan I'Park: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I back the away win (2) because Busan I'Park clearly dominates this season: 9 wins versus 4 for Hwaseong and 22 goals scored against the hosts' 13. Away, Busan averages 2.17 goals per game, has a conversion rate of 17% and has not recorded a goalless match (0%), while Hwaseong at home scores 1.38 goals per game with an 11% conversion and 13% of matches without a goal. In terms of chance quality Hwaseong’s home xG is 1.54 versus Busan’s away xG of 1.47, but Busan converts that into more goals (2.17 vs 1.38), indicating superior finishing efficiency. Defensively the hosts look solid — they concede 1.00 goal at home on average and keep clean sheets in 50% of matches, whereas Busan concedes 1.33 goals away and has fewer clean sheets (17%), which reduces the hosts’ defensive edge. Considering the higher number of wins (9 vs 4), superior goals-per-game and conversion (2.17 and 17% vs 1.38 and 11%), I assess the probabilities as: Busan 58%, draw 24%, Hwaseong 18%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hwaseong | Busan I'Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hwaseong is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Hwaseong · 1.6 pts / match - Busan I'Park
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Busan I'Park is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Hwaseong · 2.06 goals / match - Busan I'Park
Hwaseong is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Hwaseong · 1.24 goals / match - Busan I'Park
Hwaseong scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Busan I'Park keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Busan I'Park scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Hwaseong keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hwaseong
Over / Under — Busan I'Park
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Busan I'Park is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Hwaseong · 1.82 pts / match - Busan I'Park
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hwaseong - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Busan I'Park - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hwaseong
Busan I'Park
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Hwaseong | Liga | Busan I'Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.75 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Hwaseong 1 - 1 - 1 Busan I'Park. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hwaseong vs Busan I'Park?
The K League 2 match finished Hwaseong 3:2 Busan I'Park. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hwaseong and Busan I'Park?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hwaseong won 1, Busan I'Park won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hwaseong vs Busan I'Park?
Hwaseong score 1.53 goals per game on average and Busan I'Park 2.06. The K League 2 average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Hwaseong's matches and 71% of Busan I'Park's.
What form are Hwaseong and Busan I'Park in?
Over the last 5 games Hwaseong have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Busan I'Park 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hwaseong vs Busan I'Park?
The statistical background for Hwaseong vs Busan I'Park — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.