Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen: match statistics
Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hwaseong play Paju Citizen in K League 2 (South Korea). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 12:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Hwaseong: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Paju Citizen: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hwaseong scores 1.53 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Paju Citizen scores 1.00 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hwaseong 53%, Paju Citizen 47%. Over 2.5: Hwaseong 53%, Paju Citizen 47%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Hwaseong has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.24. Hwaseong: 11.8 shots per match, Paju Citizen: 9.8.
Match halves
Hwaseong: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.88. Paju Citizen: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Hwaseong: 46-60 (6 goals). Paju Citizen: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Hwaseong holds a clear advantage in form and attack: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (10 points, PPG 2.0) and have scored 10 goals, whereas Paju in their last 5 have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses (PPG 0.2) with only 1 goal scored. At home Hwaseong averages 1.55 goals, 12.82 shots and 4.91 shots on target per match with a 12% conversion rate, while Paju away averages 1.00 goal, 11.71 shots and 4.0 shots on target with only 9% conversion and 29% of matches without a goal. Additionally, hosts concede 1.09 goals at home with opposing xG 1.38, whereas Paju concede 1.57 goals away with opposing xG 1.74, suggesting greater vulnerability of the visitors to conceding. The positional gap (6 vs 13), season goal difference 22:15 and higher clean sheet rate for the hosts (45% vs 29%) confirm Hwaseong’s superiority. Based on this I project a home win probability of ~65%, draw 20% and Paju win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hwaseong | Paju Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hwaseong is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Hwaseong · 0.8 pts / match - Paju Citizen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hwaseong is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Hwaseong · 1 goals / match - Paju Citizen
Hwaseong is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Hwaseong · 1.29 goals / match - Paju Citizen
Hwaseong scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Paju Citizen keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Paju Citizen scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Hwaseong keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hwaseong
Over / Under — Paju Citizen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hwaseong - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paju Citizen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hwaseong
Paju Citizen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Hwaseong | Liga | Paju Citizen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 24% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?
The K League 2 match finished Hwaseong 1:2 Paju Citizen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?
Hwaseong score 1.53 goals per game on average and Paju Citizen 1.00. The K League 2 average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Hwaseong's matches and 47% of Paju Citizen's.
What form are Hwaseong and Paju Citizen in?
Over the last 5 games Hwaseong have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Paju Citizen 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?
The statistical background for Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.