ÍA vs Stjarnan: match statistics
ÍA vs Stjarnan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
ÍA played against Stjarnan in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game was played on July 26, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
ÍA has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Stjarnan has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
ÍA scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 2.20. Stjarnan scores 1.87 and allows 2.40. Games in this league average 4.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of ÍA's games and 87% of Stjarnan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 87%, compared with league averages of 74% for BTTS and 73% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Stjarnan has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.68 per game. ÍA takes 14.7 shots per game, while Stjarnan takes 15.0.
First-half and second-half trends
ÍA leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Stjarnan leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
ÍA's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Stjarnan, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Úrvalsdeild games average 4.07 goals. Both teams score in 74% of games, and 73% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stjarnan are the favorites due to clearly better form: the visitors have a 2-2-1 record in their last 5 matches (1.6 pts per game), while ÍA have lost all 5 recent games and have 0 pts in that period. Offensively Stjarnan scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches (2.0 per game) and have 28 goals this season, versus ÍA’s 8 in the last 5 and 21 for the season; additionally Stjarnan’s conversion rate is 12% compared to 7% for the hosts, with average on-target shots 5.14 vs 4.33. In terms of chance quality, xG per match is close — hosts 1.64 xG vs visitors 1.60 xG — which suggests a similar quantity of chances, but Stjarnan converts them better; season-long xG against is 1.44 for ÍA and 1.97 for Stjarnan. Recent defensive trends, however, strongly favor the visitors — ÍA conceded 17 goals in their last 5 matches (3.4 per game), while Stjarnan conceded 11 (2.2 per game), so the hosts’ defensive line looks more fractured despite a slightly better season xG against. For these reasons I forecast a Stjarnan win; a 2 is the most likely outcome, although given the high recent conceded-goal averages for both teams several goals can be expected in the match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show very high seasonal BTTS rates: ÍA 88% and Stjarnan 86%, and in the last 5 matches both teams are at 80%, which is a strong signal that both sides regularly score. Home side average goals scored 2.00 and conceded 2.50 per game, visitors score 1.71 and concede 2.29 — seasonal tallies 21 vs 28 goals scored and 33 vs 36 conceded indicate clear defensive issues. xG values support this direction: home xG 2.01 versus xG against visitors 1.97, and visitors xG 1.60 versus xG against home 1.94, while average shots on target 6.88 vs 5.14 and total shots 15.88 vs 14.0 suggest a high number of chances. Both teams have 0% clean sheets this season, the league BTTS rate is 74% and average goals per game 4.04, which further increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering seasonal BTTS of 88% and 86%, 80% in the last 5 matches, high xG and no clean sheets, I assess BTTS "Yes" probability at about 86% (No: 14%), therefore the best pick is yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics point to a high-goal affair: ÍA xG is 2.01 versus xG against Stjarnan 1.97, yielding an estimated ÍA goals of (2.01+1.97)/2 = 1.99; similarly for Stjarnan xG 1.60 and xG against ÍA 1.94 → 1.77, totaling 3.76 expected goals. Seasonal averages confirm this offensive risk – ÍA scores 2.0 and concedes 2.5 on average, Stjarnan scores 1.71 and concedes 2.29, and both sides have BTTS rates of 88% and 86% respectively. Historical match percentages show Over1.5 at 88% for ÍA and 100% for Stjarnan (avg 94%), and Over2.5 at 88%/86% (avg 87%), which together with the 3.76 expected goals provides strong support for overs. Additionally, ÍA has conceded 17 goals in the last 5 matches (3.4 per game) and lost all those fixtures, while Stjarnan scored 10 goals in the last 5, increasing the likelihood of further goals. Therefore I recommend a play on Over 1.5 (strongest signal): I assign 94% for Over1.5 (Under 6%), 87% for Over2.5 (Under 13%) and 73% for Over3.5 (Under 27%), with expected goals 1.99 for ÍA and 1.77 for Stjarnan.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
ÍA led at the break in 3 matches, i.e. in 38% of games, compared to just 1 lead for Stjarnan (14%); the average first-half goals are 1.25 for ÍA and 0.86 for Stjarnan. However, after the break ÍA concedes on average 1.5 goals, while Stjarnan concedes only 0.86, which increases the risk of a turnaround. Form confirms this trend: ÍA have lost all of their last 5 matches (form_l5 'lllll', 100% defeats), whereas Stjarnan in their last 5 have 40% wins and 40% draws ('wdwdl'). Considering ÍA’s seasonal 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded, and the fact that the visitors earn more points in second halves (in the last 5 matches on average 1.2 points for the away team versus 0.2 for the home team), the strongest signal is the scenario of ÍA leading at half-time and Stjarnan winning at full-time (1/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| ÍA | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stjarnan is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - ÍA · 1.87 goals / game - Stjarnan
ÍA is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.2 goals / game - ÍA · 2.4 goals / game - Stjarnan
ÍA scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 meczów).
Stjarnan scores in 87% of games (13 of 15 meczów), while ÍA keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ÍA
Over / Under - Stjarnan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ÍA is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - ÍA · 1.13 pts / game - Stjarnan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍA - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 27%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Stjarnan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
ÍA
Stjarnan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍA | Liga | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.60 | 4.07 | ▲ 4.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 87% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 87% |
| Clean sheets | • 13% | 14% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 83% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | • 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from ÍA's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Stjarnan. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of ÍA vs Stjarnan?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished ÍA 5:1 Stjarnan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between ÍA and Stjarnan?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches ÍA won 1, Stjarnan won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍA vs Stjarnan?
ÍA score 1.40 goals per game on average and Stjarnan 1.87. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 67% of ÍA's matches and 87% of Stjarnan's.
What form are ÍA and Stjarnan in?
Over the last 5 games ÍA have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Stjarnan 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍA vs Stjarnan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for ÍA vs Stjarnan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.