ÍBV vs Keflavík: match statistics
ÍBV vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
ÍBV played against Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game was played on May 31, 2026. Venue: Hásteinsvöllur. Final score: 6:1.
Recent form
ÍBV has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Keflavík has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
ÍBV scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.75. Keflavík scores 1.38 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.85 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of ÍBV's games and 75% of Keflavík's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 63%, compared with league averages of 69% for BTTS and 71% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Keflavík has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.23 per game. ÍBV takes 10.4 shots per game, while Keflavík takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
ÍBV leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Keflavík leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
ÍBV's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Keflavík, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Úrvalsdeild games average 3.85 goals. Both teams score in 69% of games, and 71% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Keflavík holds a clear advantage in form and efficiency: in the last 5 matches they scored 8 goals and recorded 3 wins (3-1-1), while ÍBV scored 4 goals in the same period and did not win any match (0-1-4). The home side have a home record of 0-2-6, concede an average of 2.75 goals per game and have a negative goal difference of -7, confirming defensive frailty at their stadium. Keflavík averages 5.5 shots on target and 13.75 shots per game with a 15% conversion rate, translating to 2.0 goals per game and xG 1.58; ÍBV averages 3.5 shots on target, 9.75 shots per game, a 10% conversion and xG 1.18. In the last 5 fixtures ÍBV conceded 13 goals versus 6 conceded by Keflavík, and the points gap is clear: ÍBV have 0.2 points per game in the last 5, Keflavík 2.0 points per game. Considering 0 home wins, the visitors' superiority in shots, conversion and xG and better form, I tip a Keflavík victory and assess probabilities as 65% for Keflavík, 20% for a draw and 15% for ÍBV.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 80% probability because Keflavík has a season BTTS rate of 100% versus ÍBV’s 50%, and the league BTTS share is 69%. Keflavík scores on average 2.0 goals per game while ÍBV only 0.75; yet xG is similar: 1.58 (Keflavík) vs 1.65 (ÍBV), meaning both teams generate about 1.6 xG per match. The visitors are more efficient and active in the penalty area — shot conversion 15% vs 5% and an average of 5.5 shots on target (visitors) vs 4.75 (home) indicate Keflavík realistically converts chances into goals. Defensively ÍBV is vulnerable: in the last 5 matches they concede 2.6 goals on average and have 22 goals conceded this season, while Keflavík has 12 and 0% clean sheets this season, which further increases the likelihood of goals on both ends. Additionally the league averages 3.85 goals per game and 69% BTTS, so based on these concrete numbers the both teams to score scenario is stronger than No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model combined with defensive profiles points to a high-scoring game: xG ÍBV 1.65, xG Keflavík 1.58, and after averaging with opponents’ defenses (ÍBV xG against = 1.39, Keflavík xG against = 1.80) I expect ~1.73 goals for the home side and ~1.49 for the away side, i.e. ~3.22 goals total. Keflavík averages 2.0 goals per match and has 100% of matches over 2.5 goals (seasonOver25Percentage_away = 100%), with shot conversion of 15% versus ÍBV’s 5%, which increases the likelihood of more goals on their side. The league average is 3.85 goals per match, and in the last 5 matches both teams reached over 2.5 in 60% of cases; additionally BTTS occurs for Keflavík in 100% and for ÍBV in 50%, supporting goal exchange. Although ÍBV have 50% clean sheets at home and a seasonal scoring average of 0.75, their low conversion and weaker attack against Keflavík’s strong goal profile limit the chances of a low-scoring match. Based on this, the strongest and most consistent signal is an Over 2.5 bet (expected goals ~3.22, Keflavík over2.5=100% and league over2.5=71%), therefore an "over" recommendation on 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Based on the data I select the 2/2 scenario: Keflavík led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%), are in form “wlwdw” and have a 60% win rate in their last five games. The visitors are strong after the break — averaging 1.5 goals in second halves (scored_2hg_avg_away 1.5) and a combined second-half average of 2.75 (AVG_2hg_away 2.75), while ÍBV have 0.0 goals scored after the break (scored_2hg_avg_home 0.0) and a negative second-half balance (-3.0). This season Keflavík average 2.0 goals per game away versus the home side’s 0.75 (seasonScoredAVG_away 2.0 vs seasonScoredAVG_home 0.75), with similar xG (1.58 vs 1.65) but a much better shot conversion rate (15% vs 5%), favoring chances being finished. Additionally, over the last 5 matches at half-time Keflavík averaged 1.0 goals (last5_scoredAVGHT_overall_away 1.0) versus the hosts’ 0.2 (last5_scoredAVGHT_overall_home 0.2), so the most reliable signal is the visitors leading at the break and winning; my combined probability for a Keflavík victory is 65% (2/2 35% + X/2 20% + 1/2 10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| ÍBV | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Keflavík is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - ÍBV · 2 pts / game - Keflavík
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Keflavík is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - ÍBV · 1.38 goals / game - Keflavík
Keflavík is 83% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.75 goals / game - ÍBV · 1.5 goals / game - Keflavík
ÍBV scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 meczów).
Keflavík scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 meczów), while ÍBV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ÍBV
Over / Under - Keflavík
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Keflavík is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - ÍBV · 1.5 pts / game - Keflavík
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍBV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
ÍBV
Keflavík
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍBV | Liga | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.75 | 3.85 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of ÍBV vs Keflavík?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished ÍBV 6:1 Keflavík. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍBV vs Keflavík?
ÍBV score 1.00 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.38. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 75% of ÍBV's matches and 75% of Keflavík's.
What form are ÍBV and Keflavík in?
Over the last 5 games ÍBV have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Keflavík 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍBV vs Keflavík?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for ÍBV vs Keflavík: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.