Ilirija vs Bistrica: match statistics
Ilirija vs Bistrica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ilirija play Bistrica in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ilirija: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Bistrica: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ilirija scores 1.27 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Bistrica scores 1.67 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ilirija 70%, Bistrica 40%. Over 2.5: Ilirija 60%, Bistrica 63%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Ilirija has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.38. Ilirija: 11.3 shots per match, Bistrica: 9.8.
Match halves
Ilirija: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67. Bistrica: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Ilirija: 16-30 (9 goals). Bistrica: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an away win for Bistrica. The visitors sit 6th versus Ilirija in 14th, having scored 40 goals this season compared to the hosts' 29 and conceded only 25 versus Ilirija's 42, which gives them a clear defensive edge. Ilirija creates more chances at home (avg. 11.91 shots and 4.64 on target with xG 1.74), but they also concede 1.91 goals per home game with opponents generating xG 1.62; Bistrica on the road allows only 1.09 goals with xG against 1.32 and is more efficient in front of goal (conversion 14% vs 11%). In the last 5 matches Ilirija have not won (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses, 0.6 pts/match), while Bistrica average 1.0 pts/match (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses); therefore, despite the hosts creating more chances I assess the visitors have higher probability to win. Additionally, Ilirija’s high home draw rate (36%) and the fact Bistrica fail to score in 45% of away matches sustain a significant draw likelihood, hence the proposed probability distribution 20%/35%/45%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ilirija | Bistrica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bistrica is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Ilirija · 1.8 pts / match - Bistrica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bistrica is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Ilirija · 1.67 goals / match - Bistrica
Bistrica is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Ilirija · 1.2 goals / match - Bistrica
Ilirija scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Bistrica keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
Bistrica scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Ilirija keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ilirija
Over / Under — Bistrica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bistrica is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Ilirija · 1.43 pts / match - Bistrica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilirija - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bistrica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ilirija
Bistrica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Ilirija | Liga | Bistrica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.82 | • 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ilirija 0 - 1 - 0 Bistrica. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ilirija vs Bistrica?
The 2. SNL match finished Ilirija 2:1 Bistrica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilirija vs Bistrica?
Ilirija score 1.27 goals per game on average and Bistrica 1.67. The 2. SNL average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Ilirija's matches and 40% of Bistrica's.
What form are Ilirija and Bistrica in?
Over the last 5 games Ilirija have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Bistrica 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilirija vs Bistrica?
The statistical background for Ilirija vs Bistrica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.