Ilves vs Gnistan: match statistics
Ilves vs Gnistan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ilves played against Gnistan in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on May 23, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Ilves has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Gnistan has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Ilves scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 2.00. Gnistan scores 1.43 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 88% of Ilves's games and 43% of Gnistan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 43%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ilves has the higher season xG average, 1.14 to 1.04 per game. Ilves takes 9.3 shots per game, while Gnistan takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Ilves leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Gnistan leads at halftime in 29% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ilves's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Gnistan, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ilves holds a slight edge due to offensive efficiency at home: at home they average 1.0 goal per game, 8.0 shots with 3.0 on target and a 13% conversion rate, while Gnistan away scores 0.67 goals, registers 7.67 shots with 2.67 on target and has a 9% conversion. Ilves has not recorded a goalless home game (percentage of matches without scoring 0%), and both teams have scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches, but Ilves concedes on average 2.0 goals at home versus Gnistan’s 1.0 away (16 vs 11 goals conceded this season), giving the visitors a defensive advantage. Looking at quality of chances, Ilves generates more xG at home (xG 1.10) than Gnistan away (xG 0.91), whereas Ilves allows 1.26 xG against at home and Gnistan records 1.77 xG against on the road — this indicates Gnistan defends more effectively than xG suggests, while Ilves concedes more goals than xG would imply. Forms are similar (points per game in last 5: 1.6 for both; both teams have 2 wins in the last 5), but key strengths are Ilves: better finishing and no goalless home games, and Gnistan: defensive stability away and a high share of draws on the road (67%). As a result I predict a home win (1) with probability 45%, a draw 35% and an away win 20% — I expect a tight match with a slight Ilves advantage due to finishing, more shots on target and higher home xG.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Ilves averages 2.0 goals scored at home this season, while Gnistan concedes 1.0 goals away, increasing the likelihood that the home side will find the net; season totals for Ilves are 11 scored and 16 conceded. However, Gnistan averages 1.8 goals in the last 5 matches (9 goals in 5), while Ilves concedes 1.2 on average in the last 5 (6 conceded), so the visitors also have a realistic chance to score. xG data shows Ilves with xG_for 1.14 at home, and opponents against Gnistan generate xG 1.77; at the same time Ilves allows xG 1.45 — both teams concede above 1.3 xG, which favors goal-scoring situations. Additionally, Ilves averages 9.5 shots per match with a 21% conversion rate, while Gnistan averages 7.67 shots with a 9% conversion, suggesting a qualitative advantage for the hosts but not ruling out a visitor goal. Considering Gnistan’s seasonal BTTS away rate of 67% versus Ilves’s low home BTTS of 25% and Gnistan’s 0% clean sheet expected on the road, I assess the BTTS - Yes scenario as more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Ilves scores an average of 2.0 goals at home and has 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this campaign, while Gnistan averages 0.67 goals away and exceeds 1.5 goals in 67% of away fixtures. On xG terms Ilves has 1.14 xG per match, Gnistan 0.91 xG; taking the average of the home xG and the opponent xG against produces expected goals of 1.46 for Ilves and 1.18 for Gnistan, totaling 2.64, which is above the league average of 2.35. Ilves attempts more shots (9.5 vs 7.67) and is significantly more efficient (conversion 21% vs 9%), increasing the likelihood of home goals and supporting over 1.5 and partially over 2.5. Season stats also show 75% of Ilves home matches over 2.5 goals versus 0% for Gnistan away, so over 2.5 is possible but not dominant. Overall the strongest signal is over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5) with a low probability of over 3.5 (~20%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ilves has a clear offensive advantage: they average 9.5 shots per game with 3.75 on target and a 21% conversion rate, while Gnistan records 7.67 shots with 2.67 on target and only 9% conversion. At half-time Ilves averages 0.75 goals versus Gnistan’s 0.0, and combined with the fact that Ilves led at the break in 50% of home matches (while Gnistan led at the break in 0% of away matches), this strongly supports the home side leading after the first 45 minutes. Seasonally Ilves scores 2.0 goals per home game compared to Gnistan’s 0.67 and also posts a higher xG (1.14 vs 0.91), so Ilves’ advantage should persist through full-time and produce the win. Therefore I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 (HT/FT) outcome at 41%, the next strongest signal is X/1 at 17%, and the combined chances of scenarios in which Gnistan lead at the break are only about 10%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ilves | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gnistan is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Ilves · 1.6 pts / game - Gnistan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gnistan is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Ilves · 1.57 goals / game - Gnistan
Ilves scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 meczów), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
Gnistan scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ilves
Over / Under - Gnistan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Ilves · 1.14 pts / game - Gnistan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ilves
Gnistan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Ilves | Liga | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.38 | 2.38 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 88% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 40% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ilves's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Gnistan. Games average 3.75 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ilves vs Gnistan?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Ilves 2:0 Gnistan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilves and Gnistan?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Ilves won 3, Gnistan won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilves vs Gnistan?
Ilves score 1.38 goals per game on average and Gnistan 1.43. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 88% of Ilves's matches and 43% of Gnistan's.
What form are Ilves and Gnistan in?
Over the last 5 games Ilves have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Gnistan 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilves vs Gnistan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ilves vs Gnistan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.