Ilves vs HJK: match statistics
Ilves vs HJK: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ilves played against HJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on August 31, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Ilves has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. HJK has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Ilves scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 1.67. HJK scores 1.62 and allows 1.24. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Ilves's games and 38% of HJK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 57%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
HJK has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.40 per game. Ilves takes 11.5 shots per game, while HJK takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Ilves leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. HJK leads at halftime in 48% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ilves's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For HJK, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ilves have a clearly stronger home profile: they win 60% of their matches there, score an average of 1.6 goals and concede just 0.9, keeping a clean sheet in 60% of games. HJK also score 1.6 goals per away match, but lose 40% of such fixtures and fail to score in 30% of them, which could be a problem against the hosts’ well-organized defense. The visitors do create slightly more high-quality chances, however, with an average xG of 1.53 compared with Ilves’ 1.28, while also registering 12.9 shots per match to their opponents’ 9.6. Current form gives HJK a slight edge, as they have scored 7 goals and averaged 1.4 points per match across their last five league games, while Ilves have managed just 5 goals and 0.8 points. Despite their weaker recent run, Ilves’ home advantage and significantly stronger defense give the hosts a slight edge to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal statistics clearly point towards a low BTTS profile: Ilves recorded both teams scoring in 36% of matches, while HJK did so in 40%, compared with the league average of 50%. Ilves kept a clean sheet in 45% of matches, while HJK failed to score in 30% of their appearances, so there is a realistic path to a scenario in which one side remains scoreless. In their last five league matches, Ilves scored just 5 goals, averaging 1.0 per game, with a low xG of 0.99, while HJK's defense conceded just 1.12 xG on average. HJK are more likely to score because Ilves allowed opponents 2.13 xG across their last five matches; however, the hosts' weaker current attacking output provides stronger support for BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have the seasonal attacking potential to score more than 1.5 goals per match: Ilves average 1.64 goals, while HJK average 1.60. HJK create an average of 1.53 xG, while Ilves’ defense allows as much as 1.52 xG, supporting the visitors’ chances of scoring at least once. Ilves have been less effective in attack recently, averaging 1.0 goal and 0.99 xG across their last five matches, but HJK have conceded in 70% of their games this season. The 1.5 line offers a clearer edge than 2.5, as over 1.5 goals were scored in 64% of Ilves matches and 80% of HJK matches, while recent form limits confidence in a high-scoring game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an HJK victory at the final whistle, as HJK have not conceded a single goal before the break in their last five matches, while Ilves have averaged just 0.8 first-half goals during that period. However, the hosts have been dangerous from the start of the season, leading at the break in 55% of their matches and conceding an average of only 0.45 goals in the first half, which increases the likelihood of an evenly contested opening period. Current form more clearly favors the visitors: HJK have collected 1.4 points per match over their last five league fixtures compared with Ilves’ 0.8, while the hosts have lost three of those five games. After the break, HJK average 1.0 goal per match over the season, whereas Ilves concede 0.82, giving the visitors solid grounds to turn a level first stage in their favor.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ilves | HJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
HJK is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Ilves · 1.8 pts / game - HJK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - Ilves · 1.24 goals / game - HJK
Ilves scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 games), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 games).
HJK scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 games), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ilves
Over / Under - HJK
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HJK is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Ilves · 1.67 pts / game - HJK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
HJK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ilves
HJK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Ilves | Liga | HJK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.24 | 2.63 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ilves's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against HJK. Games average 4.60 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ilves vs HJK?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Ilves 1:2 HJK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilves and HJK?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Ilves won 2, HJK won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilves vs HJK?
Ilves score 1.57 goals per game on average and HJK 1.62. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Ilves's matches and 38% of HJK's.
What form are Ilves and HJK in?
Over the last 5 games Ilves have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and HJK 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilves vs HJK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ilves vs HJK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.