Ilves vs Oulu: match statistics
Ilves vs Oulu: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ilves played against Oulu in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on May 8, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Ilves has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Oulu has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Ilves scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 2.20. Oulu scores 2.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Ilves's games and 50% of Oulu's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 50%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Oulu has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.19 per game. Ilves takes 10.2 shots per game, while Oulu takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Ilves leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Oulu leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ilves's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Oulu, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Oulu). Ilves have lost all 3 home matches so far (0% wins), conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game and scoring only 1.0 goal with an average xG of 1.74, indicating serious defensive issues despite creating chances. Oulu on the road score on average 2.25 goals and concede 1.5, have a 50% win rate away and 25% clean sheets, and a shot conversion rate of 18% versus Ilves’ 7% points to significantly better attacking efficiency from the visitors. The form gap is also visible in points over the last 5 matches: Ilves 0.4 points per game vs Oulu 1.2 points per game, and league positions 11 vs 1 further favor Oulu. Therefore, given the markedly weaker home defense and superior visitor efficiency, I assess the probabilities at approximately 70% for Oulu, 18% for a draw and 12% for an Ilves upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The data shows a strong contrast: Ilves at home has a season 100% clean sheets rate and season BTTS 0% (seasonConcededAVG_home 0.0; seasonCSPercentage_home 100.0; seasonBTTSPercentage_home 0.0), indicating no goals conceded at home; whereas Oulu has a season BTTS 75% and averages 2.25 goals scored per away match (seasonScoredAVG_away 2.25; seasonBTTSPercentage_away 75.0). From a chance-quality perspective Oulu posts a higher xG_for 1.43 versus Ilves xG_for 1.2 and generates more shots (avg 12.75 vs 10.0), supporting the possibility of an away goal. However Ilves’s home season record (100% clean sheets) is extreme relative to the league average clean sheets 56% and is a strong signal for No BTTS, especially given seasonConcededAVG_home is 0.0. Recent form favors BTTS — Ilves’s last 5 matches show 100% BTTS and they concede on average 2.2 goals in the last 5 (last5_seasonBTTSPercentage_overall_home 100.0; last5_seasonConcededAVG_overall_home 2.2), which undermines the season record and reduces confidence in a “no” bet. Considering the extreme seasonal clean sheet metric for the home side versus the visitors’ offensive profile (2.25 goals, xG 1.43, BTTS 75%), I assign 65% to No (no both teams to score) and 35% to BTTS - Yes, therefore I recommend: no.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Ilves xG_for 1.20 vs xG_against Oulu 1.36 yields an expected 1.28 goals for Ilves, and Oulu xG_for 1.43 vs xG_against Ilves 1.12 yields ~1.28 for Oulu, total 2.56. Season averages show Oulu scores 2.25 goals per match, Ilves 1.50; in the last 5 matches both teams averaged 1.4 goals each (7 goals in 5 matches each), giving a combined average of ~2.8. Shot and finishing stats (Ilves 10 shots and 4.0 on target, Oulu 12.75 and 4.75; conversion 15% vs 18%) and seasonal Over 2.5: Oulu 75% (away) vs Ilves 0% season-wide, but Ilves 80% in the last 5, indicate elevated likelihood of goals. Considering the 2.56 expected goals and Oulu’s clear offensive efficiency, the strongest signal is Over 2.5 (recommendation: over with estimated ~65% probability); Over 1.5 is highly likely (~90%), and Over 3.5 less likely (~30%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ilves are very strong at home: they have won 100% of home matches and have not conceded at their stadium yet (home goals conceded average 0.0), which strongly supports a home victory. At half-time Ilves led in 50% of home matches and were level in 50% (50% leads, 50% draws), and they average 0.5 goals before the break, so the most likely half-time scores are 0-0 or 1-0. Oulu score an average of 2.25 goals away and 75% of their away matches see both teams score, but they also concede an average of 1.5 goals on the road, which reduces their chances against a side that has not conceded at home so far. xG data show a slight advantage for Oulu in chance creation (xG 1.43 away vs Ilves xG 1.2 at home), yet Ilves’ defensive home stats (100% clean sheets) and the home side’s average of 1.5 goals per home game suggest Ilves will win without conceding. Therefore I select the scenario of the home team leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) as the strongest signal — I assess its probability at 50%, with overall chances for an Ilves win at about 80% (1/1 + X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ilves | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Oulu is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Ilves · 1.8 pts / game - Oulu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oulu is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Ilves · 2 goals / game - Oulu
Oulu is 120% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.2 goals / game - Ilves · 1 goals / game - Oulu
Ilves scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
Oulu scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ilves
Over / Under - Oulu
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oulu is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Ilves · 1.83 pts / game - Oulu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Oulu - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ilves
Oulu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Ilves | Liga | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.60 | 2.34 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ilves's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Oulu. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ilves vs Oulu?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Ilves 1:0 Oulu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilves and Oulu?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ilves won 1, Oulu won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilves vs Oulu?
Ilves score 1.40 goals per game on average and Oulu 2.00. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Ilves's matches and 50% of Oulu's.
What form are Ilves and Oulu in?
Over the last 5 games Ilves have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Oulu 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilves vs Oulu?
The statistical background for Ilves vs Oulu — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.