Ilves vs TPS: match statistics
Ilves vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ilves played against TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on June 13, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Ilves has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. TPS has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ilves scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 2.10. TPS scores 1.22 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.41 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Ilves's games and 56% of TPS's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 33%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
TPS has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.12 per game. Ilves takes 9.1 shots per game, while TPS takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ilves leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. TPS leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ilves's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For TPS, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.41 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ilves appears to be the favorite: at home they score on average 1.25 goals per match and have a 50% home win rate, while TPS averages 1.00 goal away and has not recorded an away win yet (0%). In the last 5 matches Ilves scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) and won 3 of 5, whereas TPS scored 5 goals (1.0 per game) and averages 1.2 points per match, indicating a home advantage in form and efficiency. Both teams concede on average 1.5 goals per match, but Ilves has an xG against at home of 1.25 versus TPS’s away xG against of 1.35, and Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 50% of home matches compared to 0% for TPS away. TPS creates more chances (on average 11 shots and 3.5 on target away) and has xG for 1.36, yet their shot conversion is only 9%, while Ilves averages 8 shots and 3 on target with a higher conversion of 16%, translating into better chance conversion. Considering Ilves’s superior conversion (16%), the absence of away clean sheets for TPS (0%), and Ilves’s 9 goals in the last 5 matches versus TPS’s 5, I forecast a home win; estimated probabilities: Ilves 60%, draw 25%, TPS 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal statistics favor No BTTS: Ilves has 60% clean sheets and concedes on average 0.4 goals per game, with BTTS occurring in only 40% of their matches. TPS, on the other hand, shows 75% of season matches with both teams scoring, but in the last 5 games TPS registered only 20% BTTS and averages 1.0 goals scored, while across the season they have 25% of matches in which they failed to score. Ilves in the last 5 matches averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 2.0 (total 9 scored and 10 conceded), indicating short-term defensive instability, yet Ilves’ season conversion rate is 17% on 8.4 shots per game, which translates to a seasonal average of 1.4 goals. Numerically compared: Ilves concedes only 0.4 goals seasonally with 60% clean sheets, while TPS gives mixed signals (75% season BTTS vs 20% BTTS in last 5); therefore the strongest and most consistent signal points to Both Teams To Score = No (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects approximately 2.45 total goals: Ilves 1.15 (xG 1.13) and TPS 1.30 (xG 1.36), which aligns with seasonal scoring averages of 1.4 for Ilves and 1.0 for TPS. Based on this, I estimate the probability of Over 1.5 goals at about 70% — consistent with historical over1.5 rates: Ilves 60% and TPS 75%, and the league average goals 2.41. The 2.5 line is balanced: the model gives Over 2.5 ~44% vs Under 2.5 ~56%, matching the fact that Ilves exceeds 2.5 goals at home only 20% of the time, while TPS goes over 2.5 in 50% of away matches. The strongest signal is Under 3.5, since seasonally Ilves has 0% of home games >3.5 and TPS 25%, and a Poisson for a 2.45 total indicates ~23% chance of 4+ goals (Over 3.5) — therefore Under 3.5 ~77%. Additionally, Ilves keeps clean sheets in 60% of home games and has a high shot efficiency of 17%, which limits the risk of a sudden goal surge, whereas TPS has 0% away clean sheets, increasing the likelihood of individual goals but not necessarily four or more.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ilves are clear favorites: at home they have won 80% of matches while TPS have no away wins (winPercentage_home = 80%, winPercentage_away = 0%). At half-time Ilves led in 40% of matches and were drawing in 60% (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 40%, drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 60%), and the hosts did not concede before the break (concededAVGHT_home = 0.0, seasonCSPercentageHT_home = 100%), indicating frequent 0-0 or minimal home leads at the break. Over 90 minutes Ilves score on average 1.4 goals at home and concede 0.4, while TPS concede on average 1.5 goals per away match (seasonScoredAVG_home = 1.4, seasonConcededAVG_home = 0.4, seasonConcededAVG_away = 1.5), and Ilves’ shot conversion is 17% versus TPS’s 9%, which favors breaking the deadlock after half-time. Given that halves finish level in 60% of cases and the hosts win 80% of matches, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an Ilves victory after 90 minutes (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ilves | TPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Ilves · 1.22 goals / game - TPS
TPS is 136% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.1 goals / game - Ilves · 0.89 goals / game - TPS
Ilves scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 meczów), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
TPS scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 meczów), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ilves
Over / Under - TPS
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Ilves · 1.22 pts / game - TPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
TPS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ilves
TPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Ilves | Liga | TPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.40 | 2.41 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 74% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ilves vs TPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Ilves 1:0 TPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilves vs TPS?
Ilves score 1.30 goals per game on average and TPS 1.22. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Ilves's matches and 56% of TPS's.
What form are Ilves and TPS in?
Over the last 5 games Ilves have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and TPS 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilves vs TPS?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ilves vs TPS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.