INCA-Aruba vs FAS: match statistics
INCA-Aruba vs FAS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
INCA-Aruba played FAS in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
INCA-Aruba: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match. FAS: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
INCA-Aruba scores 0.50 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. FAS scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: INCA-Aruba 50%, FAS 50%. Over 2.5: INCA-Aruba 50%, FAS 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
INCA-Aruba has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.53. INCA-Aruba: 11.0 shots per match, FAS: 9.5.
Match halves
INCA-Aruba: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. FAS: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
INCA-Aruba: 61-75 (1 goals). FAS: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win. In the last 5 matches FAS recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 9 goals (avg. 1.8 per game) and conceding 3 (0.6 per game), while INCA-Aruba in their last 5 matches have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, scoring only 1 goal (0.2 per game) and conceding 3 (0.6 per game). The home side’s home matches show an average of 1.0 goals scored, but an average of 3.0 conceded per game, and their home xG is 1.25 versus xG against 1.63, indicating a weak defense and more goals conceded than expected. The visitors have a season record of 3 goals scored and 1 conceded, and their average points from the last 5 matches is 2.0 versus 0.0 for the hosts, which confirms FAS’s superiority in efficiency and form.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor the "both teams to score" scenario (BTTS - Yes) — 85% vs 15% for No, driven by several strong statistical signals. The home side has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 100% in their last 5 matches, meaning both teams scored in all their games. The visitors have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.8 per game) with an average xG of 1.74, while the home side has conceded an average of 3.0 goals over the same period, so the visitors' real offensive output exploits clear defensive issues for the hosts. Additionally, the league has a high BTTS rate of 86% and an average of 3.43 goals per game, which increases the likelihood of goal exchange. Against this is the visitors' seasonal lack of BTTS (0%) and some zero seasonal xG values for the visitors, but the combination of the hosts' 100% BTTS, the hosts conceding 3.0 on average and the visitors' 9 goals in the last 5 matches outweighs the case and supports a Yes selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The home team have a seasonal goals per game average of 3.0 and seasonal xG of 2.3, averaging 15 shots and 9 on target per match, with 100% of home matches going Over 2.5 — indicating strong offensive firepower. The visitors have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.8 avg) and have a last5 xG of 1.74, while the league averages 3.43 goals per game and 86% of matches see both teams score, which increases the probability of multiple goals. A counter-signal is the dip in the home side’s recent form over the last 5 (xG 0.25 and just 1 goal), but the home season metrics (xG 2.3, shot conversion 20%) and the visitors’ attacking form still point to a goal-heavy game. I estimate expected goals of 2.10 for the home team and 1.30 for the visitors (total 3.40), therefore the probability of Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 is clearly higher than Under. The best line and side to play is Over 2.5 — this is the strongest signal from the data (estimated 78% chance of Over 2.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Analysis of the last 5 matches shows a clear advantage for the away side: FAS won 60% of those fixtures and averages 1.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.6, whereas INCA has not won any of their last 5 and concedes an average of 3.0 goals. The superiority of FAS is especially evident in the first half — the visitors average 1.0 goals at the break in the last 5 matches, hosts 0.0, and seasonally the home team has led at half-time in 0% of games and trailed at the break in 100% of cases. INCA tend to score mainly after the break: 1 goal in minutes 61–75 and 2 goals in minutes 76–90, so any comeback would be a late-risk scenario rather than early dominance. Given FAS’s form (60% wins, 1.8 goals per game) and the first-half statistics (1.0 vs 0.0), I assign the highest probability to the scenario of the visitors leading at half-time and winning at full-time 2/2 (50%), with reasonable alternatives being X/2 (15%) and 2/X (12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| INCA-Aruba | FAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 58% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.11 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FAS is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.5 goals / match - FAS
FAS is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.5 goals / match - FAS
INCA-Aruba scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while FAS keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
FAS scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — INCA-Aruba
Over / Under — FAS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
INCA-Aruba - second-half results
Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FAS - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
INCA-Aruba
FAS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| INCA-Aruba | Liga | FAS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- FASGoalRafael Tejada
- FASGoalEdgar José Medrano Ayarza
- FASGoalNelson Wilfredo Bonilla Sánchez
FAQ
What was the result of INCA-Aruba vs FAS?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished INCA-Aruba 0:4 FAS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before INCA-Aruba vs FAS?
INCA-Aruba score 0.50 goals per game on average and FAS 1.50. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of INCA-Aruba's matches and 50% of FAS's.
What form are INCA-Aruba and FAS in?
Over the last 5 games INCA-Aruba have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and FAS 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for INCA-Aruba vs FAS?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for INCA-Aruba vs FAS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.