INCA-Aruba vs Fuerte San Francisco: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
INCA-Aruba vs Fuerte San Francisco: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
INCA-Aruba plays Fuerte San Francisco in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026.
Recent form
INCA-Aruba has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Fuerte San Francisco has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
INCA-Aruba scores 0.60 goals per game and allows 1.90. Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.56 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of INCA-Aruba's games and 33% of Fuerte San Francisco's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 33%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fuerte San Francisco has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.22 per game. INCA-Aruba takes 8.2 shots per game, while Fuerte San Francisco takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
INCA-Aruba leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Fuerte San Francisco leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
INCA-Aruba's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Fuerte San Francisco, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Salvadoran Primera División games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| INCA-Aruba | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
INCA-Aruba is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - INCA-Aruba · 0.6 pts / game - Fuerte San Francisco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
INCA-Aruba is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
0.6 goals / game - INCA-Aruba · 0.56 goals / game - Fuerte San Francisco
Fuerte San Francisco is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.9 goals / game - INCA-Aruba · 1.67 goals / game - Fuerte San Francisco
INCA-Aruba scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 games), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).
Fuerte San Francisco scores in 44% of games (4 of 9 games), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - INCA-Aruba
Over / Under - Fuerte San Francisco
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fuerte San Francisco is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / game - INCA-Aruba · 1.44 pts / game - Fuerte San Francisco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
INCA-Aruba - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
INCA-Aruba
Fuerte San Francisco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| INCA-Aruba | Liga | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.50 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 32% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do INCA-Aruba and Fuerte San Francisco play?
INCA-Aruba face Fuerte San Francisco on September 19, 2026 in Salvadoran Primera División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before INCA-Aruba vs Fuerte San Francisco?
INCA-Aruba score 0.60 goals per game on average and Fuerte San Francisco 0.56. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of INCA-Aruba's matches and 33% of Fuerte San Francisco's.
What form are INCA-Aruba and Fuerte San Francisco in?
Over the last 5 games INCA-Aruba have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fuerte San Francisco 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for INCA-Aruba vs Fuerte San Francisco?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.