Incheon United vs FC Seoul: match statistics
Analysis of the last five matches of both teams indicates a balanced situation. Incheon United presents better form with 1.4 points per match and a goal difference of +2 (5 scored, 3 conceded), while FC Seoul has weaker form with 1.0 points per match and a negative balance of -1 (7 scored, 8 conceded). Incheon occupies a higher position in the table (7th place vs FC Seoul's 4th place), which might be confusing, but the difference in points per match in recent meetings speaks in favor of the hosts. Both teams have an identical number of victories in the last five matches (2 for Incheon, 1 for FC Seoul), suggesting a tight competition. Taking into account the hosts' advantage and the guests' weaker defense, I predict a draw as the most probable result, with a slight edge for the hosts.
Incheon United vs FC Seoul: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Incheon United play FC Seoul in K League 1 (South Korea). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 06:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Incheon United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. FC Seoul: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Incheon United scores 1.26 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. FC Seoul scores 1.79 and concedes 0.74. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Incheon United 47%, FC Seoul 53%. Over 2.5: Incheon United 53%, FC Seoul 58%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
FC Seoul has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.48. Incheon United: 11.5 shots per match, FC Seoul: 12.4.
Match halves
Incheon United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.53. FC Seoul: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Incheon United: 31-45+ (8 goals). FC Seoul: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 1: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Analysis of the last five matches of both teams indicates a balanced situation. Incheon United presents better form with 1.4 points per match and a goal difference of +2 (5 scored, 3 conceded), while FC Seoul has weaker form with 1.0 points per match and a negative balance of -1 (7 scored, 8 conceded). Incheon occupies a higher position in the table (7th place vs FC Seoul's 4th place), which might be confusing, but the difference in points per match in recent meetings speaks in favor of the hosts. Both teams have an identical number of victories in the last five matches (2 for Incheon, 1 for FC Seoul), suggesting a tight competition. Taking into account the hosts' advantage and the guests' weaker defense, I predict a draw as the most probable result, with a slight edge for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Incheon United | FC Seoul | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Seoul is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Incheon United · 2.6 pts / match - FC Seoul
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Seoul is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Incheon United · 1.79 goals / match - FC Seoul
FC Seoul is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Incheon United · 0.74 goals / match - FC Seoul
Incheon United scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while FC Seoul keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
FC Seoul scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Incheon United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Incheon United
Over / Under — FC Seoul
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FC Seoul is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Incheon United · 1.84 pts / match - FC Seoul
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Incheon United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Seoul - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Incheon United
FC Seoul
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| Incheon United | Liga | FC Seoul | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.32 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 39% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 30% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 63% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Incheon United 0 - 0 - 1 FC Seoul. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Incheon United vs FC Seoul?
The K League 1 match finished Incheon United 1:2 FC Seoul. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Incheon United vs FC Seoul?
Incheon United score 1.26 goals per game on average and FC Seoul 1.79. The K League 1 average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Incheon United's matches and 53% of FC Seoul's.
What form are Incheon United and FC Seoul in?
Over the last 5 games Incheon United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and FC Seoul 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Incheon United vs FC Seoul?
The statistical background for Incheon United vs FC Seoul — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.