Paraguay - Division IntermediaData current as of October 23, 2026

Independiente FBC vs Paraguarí: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Independiente FBC vs Paraguarí: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Independiente FBC plays Paraguarí in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026.

Recent form

Independiente FBC has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Paraguarí has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Independiente FBC scores 1.55 goals per game and allows 1.31. Paraguarí scores 1.45 and allows 1.28. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 59% of Independiente FBC's games and 55% of Paraguarí's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 48%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Independiente FBC has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.37 per game. Independiente FBC takes 10.5 shots per game, while Paraguarí takes 9.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Independiente FBC leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Paraguarí leads at halftime in 24% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Independiente FBC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Paraguarí, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Division Intermedia games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.22)
(3.32)
(2.80)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Independiente FBCParaguarí
1.55Goals scored / game1.45
Independiente FBCParaguarí
1.31Goals allowed / game1.28
Independiente FBCParaguarí
51%Average possession45%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
4.21Shots on target / game3.79
Independiente FBCParaguarí

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.52Shots per game9.86
Independiente FBCParaguarí
4.21Shots on target3.79
Independiente FBCParaguarí
14.8%Shot conversion14.7%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
51%Possession45%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
1.44xG for1.37
Independiente FBCParaguarí
1.36xG against1.44
Independiente FBCParaguarí

Shooting quality

Independiente FBC: Efficient finishingParaguarí: Counter-attacking
Independiente FBCParaguarí
Accuracy (shots on target)40%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Paraguarí is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Independiente FBC · 2.4 pts / game - Paraguarí

Independiente FBC
WLWWL
Season result split
38% W34% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-8
1.48 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-5-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Paraguarí
WLWWW
Season result split
45% W17% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-5-11
1.52 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-7
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente FBC is 7% better for: goals scored per game.

1.55 goals / game - Independiente FBC · 1.45 goals / game - Paraguarí

Independiente FBC scoring profile: very strong

Independiente FBC scores in 83% of games (24 of 29 games), while Paraguarí keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 games).

Paraguarí scoring profile: strong

Paraguarí scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 games), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 games).

45Goals scored (season)42
Independiente FBCParaguarí
38Goals conceded (season)37
Independiente FBCParaguarí
2.86Average goals per game2.72
Independiente FBCParaguarí
12Goals scored (last 5)11
Independiente FBCParaguarí
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Independiente FBCParaguarí

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal76%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
55%2 goals41%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
14%3 goals24%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
3%4 goals3%
Independiente FBCParaguarí

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal76%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
41%2 goals41%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
14%3 goals10%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
7%4 goals0%
Independiente FBCParaguarí

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

34%BTTS at half-time17%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
7%BTTS in both halves14%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
28%Scored in both halves24%
Independiente FBCParaguarí

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
40%BTTS - last 560%
Independiente FBCParaguarí

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
24%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Independiente FBCParaguarí

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time34%
Independiente FBCParaguarí

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paraguarí is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / game - Independiente FBC · 1.21 pts / game - Paraguarí

Independiente FBC - half-time state
21% leading52% draw28% trailing
Paraguarí - half-time state
24% leading48% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per game (1st half)1.21
Independiente FBCParaguarí
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.45
Independiente FBCParaguarí
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Independiente FBCParaguarí
1.52Average goals (1st half)1
Independiente FBCParaguarí
48%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
48%No goal before half-time59%
Independiente FBCParaguarí

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per game (2nd half)1.45
Independiente FBCParaguarí
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)1
Independiente FBCParaguarí
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.72
Independiente FBCParaguarí
1.34Average goals (2nd half)1.72
Independiente FBCParaguarí
62%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Independiente FBCParaguarí
41%No goal after half-time41%
Independiente FBCParaguarí

Independiente FBC - second-half results

38% W38% D24% L
33
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding181%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Paraguarí - second-half results

38% W31% D31% L
35
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding188%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Independiente FBC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game0.81.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.22.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paraguarí - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.60
Goals scored / game0.61.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.22.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Independiente FBC
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
7
10
16-30
9
10
31-45
3
4
46-60
9
1
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Paraguarí
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
6
9
31-45
8
6
46-60
9
7
61-75
12
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+79%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Independiente FBC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Paraguarí

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.88
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).

Teams vs league

Independiente FBCLigaParaguarí
Average goals per game▲ 2.862.64• 2.72
Both teams scored▲ 59%56%• 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 52%47%• 48%
Clean sheets▲ 34%25%• 24%
Goal before half-time▲ 69%67%▲ 69%
Goal after half-time• 76%75%• 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / game
1.27
Away goals / game
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Independiente FBC's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Paraguarí. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Paraguarí
3 : 2
Independiente FBC

FAQ

When do Independiente FBC and Paraguarí play?

Independiente FBC face Paraguarí on October 23, 2026 in Division Intermedia. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Independiente FBC vs Paraguarí?

Independiente FBC score 1.55 goals per game on average and Paraguarí 1.45. The Division Intermedia average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Independiente FBC's matches and 55% of Paraguarí's.

What form are Independiente FBC and Paraguarí in?

Over the last 5 games Independiente FBC have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Paraguarí 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente FBC vs Paraguarí?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.