Independiente Juniors vs Cumbayá: match statistics
Independiente Juniors are showing solid form in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 11 goals while conceding 6. The hosts hold a higher position in the table (5th place) compared to Cumbayá (7th place) and have a better points per game ratio PPG (2.0 vs 1.6). Cumbayá are showing balanced form (2W-2D-1L), but their goal difference of 8:8 in the last five matches indicates defensive issues. A key factor is that Independiente Juniors have not conceded a goal in home matches this season, which gives them a psychological advantage. Considering the home advantage and their better form, I expect Independiente Juniors to win, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to the evenly matched strength of both teams.
Independiente Juniors vs Cumbayá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Juniors play Cumbayá in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 26 March 2026 at 21:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Independiente Juniors: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cumbayá: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Juniors scores 1.06 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Cumbayá scores 1.06 and concedes 0.89. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Juniors 41%, Cumbayá 44%. Over 2.5: Independiente Juniors 35%, Cumbayá 39%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Juniors has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.14. Independiente Juniors: 9.5 shots per match, Cumbayá: 7.2.
Match halves
Independiente Juniors: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.53. Cumbayá: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Independiente Juniors: 0-15 (5 goals). Cumbayá: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Independiente Juniors are showing solid form in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 11 goals while conceding 6. The hosts hold a higher position in the table (5th place) compared to Cumbayá (7th place) and have a better points per game ratio PPG (2.0 vs 1.6). Cumbayá are showing balanced form (2W-2D-1L), but their goal difference of 8:8 in the last five matches indicates defensive issues. A key factor is that Independiente Juniors have not conceded a goal in home matches this season, which gives them a psychological advantage. Considering the home advantage and their better form, I expect Independiente Juniors to win, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to the evenly matched strength of both teams.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Juniors | Cumbayá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Juniors is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - Independiente Juniors · 0.89 goals / match - Cumbayá
Independiente Juniors scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Cumbayá keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Cumbayá scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Independiente Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente Juniors
Over / Under — Cumbayá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cumbayá is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Independiente Juniors · 1.56 pts / match - Cumbayá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cumbayá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Juniors
Cumbayá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Juniors | Liga | Cumbayá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 1.92 | • 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 41% | 39% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 33% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 39% | • 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Independiente Juniors 1 - 0 - 2 Cumbayá. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Juniors vs Cumbayá?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Independiente Juniors 2:1 Cumbayá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Juniors and Cumbayá?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Juniors won 1, Cumbayá won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Juniors vs Cumbayá?
Independiente Juniors score 1.06 goals per game on average and Cumbayá 1.06. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Independiente Juniors's matches and 44% of Cumbayá's.
What form are Independiente Juniors and Cumbayá in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Juniors have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cumbayá 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Juniors vs Cumbayá?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente Juniors vs Cumbayá: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.