Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo: match statistics
Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Independiente Juniors played against LDU Portoviejo in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The game was played on April 30, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Independiente Juniors has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. LDU Portoviejo has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Independiente Juniors scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 0.83. LDU Portoviejo scores 0.83 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.00 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Independiente Juniors's games and 33% of LDU Portoviejo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 33%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
LDU Portoviejo has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.43 per game. Independiente Juniors takes 9.7 shots per game, while LDU Portoviejo takes 10.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Independiente Juniors leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. LDU Portoviejo leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Independiente Juniors's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For LDU Portoviejo, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera Categoría Serie B games average 2.00 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente Juniors are the clear favorites: at home they have a 67% win rate and 0% losses, averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. LDU Portoviejo sit 8th and have yet to win away (0% wins), conceding 2.00 goals on average while scoring only 0.67. The defensive gap is approximately 1.33 goals per match (0.67 vs 2.00), and the home attacking advantage is about 0.66 goals (1.33 vs 0.67); additionally, the home xG for Independiente is 1.38 versus 1.10 xG for the visitors on the road. Independiente averages 10.33 shots and 5.0 on target at home, while the visitors average 7.0 shots and 3.5 on target, which—given similar finishing rates (13% vs 14%)—yields more scoring opportunities for the hosts. Considering form (hosts 1.6 pts in the last 5 matches vs visitors 1.4 pts) and the fact the visitors have lost their last three away games, I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back Both Teams To Score: NO, because Independiente Juniors concedes only 0.33 goals per match this season and have a 67% clean sheet rate, while LDU Portoviejo scores just 0.67 goals per match season-wide and has no clean sheets (0%). Seasonal BTTS rates for both teams are 33% each, and the league features a high clean sheet frequency of 64%, favoring one-scorer outcomes. Although the hosts had an 80% BTTS rate in their last 5 matches and the visitors scored 8 goals in their last 5 (1.6 avg), recent xG shows a creative edge for the home side: season xG_for home 1.82 versus xG_against_away 1.65, while LDU’s season goals average remains low at 0.67. Additionally Independiente averages 16 shots and 5.67 on target per match versus 7 and 3.5 for the visitors, indicating the hosts will create chances, and the clean sheet stats plus LDU’s low finishing favor the “No” scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive analysis shows expected goals of 1.74 for Independiente Juniors (xG_for 1.82 vs LDU defense xG_against 1.65) and 1.01 for LDU Portoviejo (xG_for 1.10 vs home defense xG_against 0.92), totaling ≈2.75 goals. A Poisson distribution with λ≈2.75 yields about a 76% probability for Over 1.5, roughly 52% for Over 2.5 and about 30% for Over 3.5. Additionally, the home side creates more chances: on average 16 shots and 5.67 on target per match versus the visitors’ 7 shots and 3.5 on target; despite the visitors’ higher conversion rate (14% vs 6%), the volume of opportunities favors goals. In the last 5 matches the home team scored 6 goals (1.2 avg) and the visitors 8 goals (1.6), so the strongest and most probable signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HT data show the home team were level at the break in 2 of 3 matches (67%), and led at half-time in only one (33%), indicating a high probability of a draw at the break. The Full-Time outcome favors the home side: they win 67% of matches while the away team has recorded no wins (0%), so the home side has greater chances of a turnaround after the break. This is supported by superiority in expected goals and shots — average home xG 1.82 versus 1.10 for guests, average shots 16.0 versus 7.0 and shots on target 5.67 versus 3.5, suggesting the ability to score in the second half. Combining HT: draw (67%) with FT: home win (67%) yields that the scenario draw at the break and home win (X/1) is the strongest signal — approximately 45% probability. The scenario home leading at the break and holding the lead (1/1) has moderate support (~22%: 33% HT leads × 67% conversion of a lead into a win), whereas variants with an away win are effectively negligible according to the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Juniors | LDU Portoviejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Independiente Juniors is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Independiente Juniors · 1.4 pts / game - LDU Portoviejo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Juniors is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
1.17 goals / game - Independiente Juniors · 0.83 goals / game - LDU Portoviejo
Independiente Juniors is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.83 goals / game - Independiente Juniors · 1.17 goals / game - LDU Portoviejo
Independiente Juniors scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while LDU Portoviejo keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
LDU Portoviejo scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 meczów), while Independiente Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Juniors
Over / Under - LDU Portoviejo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
LDU Portoviejo is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Independiente Juniors · 1.33 pts / game - LDU Portoviejo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Juniors - second-half results
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
LDU Portoviejo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Independiente Juniors
LDU Portoviejo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Juniors | Liga | LDU Portoviejo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.00 | 2.00 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 33% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 67% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Independiente Juniors 2:1 LDU Portoviejo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo?
Independiente Juniors score 1.17 goals per game on average and LDU Portoviejo 0.83. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Independiente Juniors's matches and 33% of LDU Portoviejo's.
What form are Independiente Juniors and LDU Portoviejo in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Juniors have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and LDU Portoviejo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.