Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga: match statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga is showing impressive away form with a series of three consecutive draws and a zero percent loss rate away this season. Independiente Medellín has not won any home match this season, recording a 67% draw rate in home games. The hosts have an advantage in creating chances (xG 2.09 vs 1.16), but their finishing inefficiency (6% conversion rate) and lack of clean sheets at home are significant problems. Bucaramanga is characterized by a solid defense away, conceding on average only 1 goal per match and maintaining a 33% clean sheet rate. Considering both teams' tendency to draw and the fact that Bucaramanga has not yet lost any away match, the most likely scenario is a share of the points, although the hosts have a chance to break through due to their ball possession dominance and higher number of shots.
Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Independiente Medellín played against Atlético Bucaramanga in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Independiente Medellín has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Atlético Bucaramanga has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Independiente Medellín scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.50. Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.43 and allows 0.57. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Independiente Medellín's games and 43% of Atlético Bucaramanga's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 43%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Independiente Medellín has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.32 per game. Independiente Medellín takes 15.1 shots per game, while Atlético Bucaramanga takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Independiente Medellín leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Bucaramanga leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Independiente Medellín's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Atlético Bucaramanga, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Bucaramanga is showing impressive away form with a series of three consecutive draws and a zero percent loss rate away this season. Independiente Medellín has not won any home match this season, recording a 67% draw rate in home games. The hosts have an advantage in creating chances (xG 2.09 vs 1.16), but their finishing inefficiency (6% conversion rate) and lack of clean sheets at home are significant problems. Bucaramanga is characterized by a solid defense away, conceding on average only 1 goal per match and maintaining a 33% clean sheet rate. Considering both teams' tendency to draw and the fact that Bucaramanga has not yet lost any away match, the most likely scenario is a share of the points, although the hosts have a chance to break through due to their ball possession dominance and higher number of shots.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Atlético Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Independiente Medellín · 1.4 pts / game - Atlético Bucaramanga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Independiente Medellín · 1.43 goals / game - Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga is 163% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Independiente Medellín · 0.57 goals / game - Atlético Bucaramanga
Independiente Medellín scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 meczów).
Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 meczów), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - Atlético Bucaramanga
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Independiente Medellín · 1.14 pts / game - Atlético Bucaramanga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Independiente Medellín
Atlético Bucaramanga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Atlético Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.75 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 59% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente MedellínYellow cardMarlon Andres Balanta Cordoba
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Independiente Medellín's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Atlético Bucaramanga. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 1:2 Atlético Bucaramanga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Atlético Bucaramanga?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 1, Atlético Bucaramanga won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
Independiente Medellín score 1.25 goals per game on average and Atlético Bucaramanga 1.43. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 43% of Atlético Bucaramanga's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and Atlético Bucaramanga in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlético Bucaramanga 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.