Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima: match statistics
Deportes Tolima displays significantly better form than Independiente Medellín, making them the favorite for this encounter. The visitors have won both away matches this season, scoring 4 goals and conceding none, giving them a 100% win rate and 100% clean sheets. In the last five matches overall, Tolima earned 1.8 points per game, winning three times. Conversely, the hosts are in crisis, having lost both matches of the season and four of their last five, with a poor goal difference and just 0.8 points per game. The lack of any home statistics for Medellín further weakens their position. All indicators point to an advantage for the visitors, who possess a 25% shot conversion rate and solid defensive organization.
Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Medellín play Deportes Tolima in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 28 January 2026 at 02:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Deportes Tolima: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Deportes Tolima scores 1.35 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Medellín 68%, Deportes Tolima 43%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 58%, Deportes Tolima 30%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.39. Independiente Medellín: 14.6 shots per match, Deportes Tolima: 13.2.
Match halves
Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89. Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). Deportes Tolima: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 75%.
Match description
Deportes Tolima displays significantly better form than Independiente Medellín, making them the favorite for this encounter. The visitors have won both away matches this season, scoring 4 goals and conceding none, giving them a 100% win rate and 100% clean sheets. In the last five matches overall, Tolima earned 1.8 points per game, winning three times. Conversely, the hosts are in crisis, having lost both matches of the season and four of their last five, with a poor goal difference and just 0.8 points per game. The lack of any home statistics for Medellín further weakens their position. All indicators point to an advantage for the visitors, who possess a 25% shot conversion rate and solid defensive organization.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Medellín is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.4 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportes Tolima is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 0.91 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
Deportes Tolima scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente Medellín
Over / Under — Deportes Tolima
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 102% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.7 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Medellín
Deportes Tolima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Independiente Medellín 3 - 0 - 1 Deportes Tolima. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 2:2 Deportes Tolima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Deportes Tolima?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 3, Deportes Tolima won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Medellín score 1.37 goals per game on average and Deportes Tolima 1.35. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 43% of Deportes Tolima's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and Deportes Tolima in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Deportes Tolima 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima?
The statistical background for Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.