Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima: match statistics
Deportes Tolima displays significantly better form than Independiente Medellín, making them the favorite for this encounter. The visitors have won both away matches this season, scoring 4 goals and conceding none, giving them a 100% win rate and 100% clean sheets. In the last five matches overall, Tolima earned 1.8 points per game, winning three times. Conversely, the hosts are in crisis, having lost both matches of the season and four of their last five, with a poor goal difference and just 0.8 points per game. The lack of any home statistics for Medellín further weakens their position. All indicators point to an advantage for the visitors, who possess a 25% shot conversion rate and solid defensive organization.
Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Independiente Medellín played against Deportes Tolima in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on January 28, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Independiente Medellín has 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Deportes Tolima has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Independiente Medellín scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 2.00. Deportes Tolima scores 2.00 and allows 0.00. Games in this league average 2.29 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Independiente Medellín's games and 0% of Deportes Tolima's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 0%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Deportes Tolima has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.12 per game. Independiente Medellín takes 11.0 shots per game, while Deportes Tolima takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Independiente Medellín leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Deportes Tolima leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Independiente Medellín's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (1 goals). For Deportes Tolima, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.29 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportes Tolima displays significantly better form than Independiente Medellín, making them the favorite for this encounter. The visitors have won both away matches this season, scoring 4 goals and conceding none, giving them a 100% win rate and 100% clean sheets. In the last five matches overall, Tolima earned 1.8 points per game, winning three times. Conversely, the hosts are in crisis, having lost both matches of the season and four of their last five, with a poor goal difference and just 0.8 points per game. The lack of any home statistics for Medellín further weakens their position. All indicators point to an advantage for the visitors, who possess a 25% shot conversion rate and solid defensive organization.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportes Tolima is 300% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - Independiente Medellín · 2 goals / game - Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellín scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 meczów), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 meczów).
Deportes Tolima scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - Deportes Tolima
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Independiente Medellín · 2 pts / game - Deportes Tolima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Independiente Medellín
Deportes Tolima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.29 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Independiente Medellín's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Deportes Tolima. Games average 3.25 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 2:2 Deportes Tolima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Deportes Tolima?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 3, Deportes Tolima won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Medellín score 0.50 goals per game on average and Deportes Tolima 2.00. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 0% of Deportes Tolima's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and Deportes Tolima in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and Deportes Tolima 2-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima?
The statistical background for Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.