Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Atanasio GirardotData current as of 29 July 2026

Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Cali: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Cali: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Independiente Medellín play Deportivo Cali in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 2 August 2026 at 01:10. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Current form

Independiente Medellín: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Deportivo Cali: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Independiente Medellín scores 1.45 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Deportivo Cali scores 1.10 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Independiente Medellín 70%, Deportivo Cali 40%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 60%, Deportivo Cali 25%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.38. Independiente Medellín: 14.3 shots per match, Deportivo Cali: 13.1.

Match halves

Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.90. Deportivo Cali: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). Deportivo Cali: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.94)
(3.22)
(4.06)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
1.45Goals scored / match1.1
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
1.3Goals conceded / match0.8
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
52%Average possession52%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
4.75Shots on target / match4.05
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.3Shots per match13.05
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
4.75Shots on target4.05
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
10.1%Shot conversion8.4%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
52%Possession52%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
1.51xG for1.38
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
1.07xG against1.06
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

Shooting quality

Independiente Medellín: AttackingDeportivo Cali: Balanced
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
Accuracy (shots on target)33%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Independiente Medellín is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.6 pts / match - Deportivo Cali

Independiente Medellín
WWWLW
Season result split
40% W25% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-7
1.45 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Deportivo Cali
DLWDW
Season result split
40% W30% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-6
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente Medellín is 32% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.1 goals / match - Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.3 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 0.8 goals / match - Deportivo Cali

Independiente Medellín scoring profile: very strong

Independiente Medellín scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Deportivo Cali keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).

Deportivo Cali scoring profile: very strong

Deportivo Cali scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).

29Goals scored (season)22
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
26Goals conceded (season)16
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
2.75Average goals in match1.9
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
8Goals scored (last 5)5
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal70%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
45%2 goals30%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
10%3 goals10%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
0%4 goals0%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal60%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
45%2 goals15%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
10%3 goals5%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
0%4 goals0%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

70%
Independiente Medellín - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 20 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time5%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
15%Scored in both halves20%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
40%BTTS - last 540%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportivo Cali is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.85 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.3 pts / match - Deportivo Cali

Independiente Medellín - half-time state
15% leading40% draw45% trailing
Deportivo Cali - half-time state
25% leading55% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.85Points per match (1st half)1.3
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.35
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
0.85Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.6
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
40%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
65%No goal before half-time70%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.3
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
65%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali
30%No goal after half-time40%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Cali

Independiente Medellín - second-half results

45% W40% R15% P
17
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding267%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Deportivo Cali - second-half results

40% W30% R30% P
26
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Independiente Medellín - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Deportivo Cali - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.21.4
1 goal20%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Independiente Medellín
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
5
16-30
3
9
31-45
5
2
46-60
5
1
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Deportivo Cali
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
4
31-45
6
3
46-60
6
5
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Independiente Medellín

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.95
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Deportivo Cali

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Independiente MedellínLigaDeportivo Cali
Average goals in match 2.752.54 1.90
Both teams scored 70%53% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%47% 25%
Clean sheets 25%27% 40%
Goal before half-time 75%69% 50%
Goal after half-time 80%79% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+65%
Home attack advantage
+39%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Independiente Medellín 1 - 1 - 1 Deportivo Cali. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Deportivo Cali
3 : 1
Independiente Medellín
Asociación Deportivo Cali
1 : 3
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
0 : 0
Asociación Deportivo Cali

FAQ

When do Independiente Medellín and Deportivo Cali play?

Independiente Medellín face Deportivo Cali on 1 August 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Deportivo Cali?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 1, Deportivo Cali won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Cali?

Independiente Medellín score 1.45 goals per game on average and Deportivo Cali 1.10. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 40% of Deportivo Cali's.

What form are Independiente Medellín and Deportivo Cali in?

Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Deportivo Cali 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Cali?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.