Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw. Independiente Medellín are in poor form with zero wins this season and a five-match winless streak, but at home they display high ball possession dominance (68%) and a solid xG figure (2.45). La Equidad show better overall form with three wins in their last five matches and a higher points per game efficiency (2.0 PPG), but they perform worse away (50% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.5 goals). The host has recorded two draws in two home matches, which, given both teams' weak defense, suggests a points split. Considering the high average goal tally in the host's matches (4.0) and Medellín's history of draws at home, the most likely scenario is a draw in a high-scoring encounter.
Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Independiente Medellín played against La Equidad in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Independiente Medellín has 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.50 points per game. La Equidad has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.75 points per game.
Scoring records
Independiente Medellín scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 1.50. La Equidad scores 1.25 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.41 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Independiente Medellín's games and 50% of La Equidad's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 75%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Independiente Medellín has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.45 per game. Independiente Medellín takes 14.5 shots per game, while La Equidad takes 14.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Independiente Medellín leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. La Equidad leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Independiente Medellín's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For La Equidad, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.41 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw. Independiente Medellín are in poor form with zero wins this season and a five-match winless streak, but at home they display high ball possession dominance (68%) and a solid xG figure (2.45). La Equidad show better overall form with three wins in their last five matches and a higher points per game efficiency (2.0 PPG), but they perform worse away (50% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.5 goals). The host has recorded two draws in two home matches, which, given both teams' weak defense, suggests a points split. Considering the high average goal tally in the host's matches (4.0) and Medellín's history of draws at home, the most likely scenario is a draw in a high-scoring encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | La Equidad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
La Equidad is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.5 pts / game - Independiente Medellín · 1.75 pts / game - La Equidad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Equidad is 67% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Independiente Medellín · 1.25 goals / game - La Equidad
Independiente Medellín scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while La Equidad keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
La Equidad scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - La Equidad
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Equidad is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Independiente Medellín · 1.25 pts / game - La Equidad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
La Equidad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Independiente Medellín
La Equidad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | La Equidad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.25 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Andrés Felipe Dávila MosqueraOff: Didier Andrés Moreno Asprilla
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Independiente Medellín's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against La Equidad. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 1:2 La Equidad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and La Equidad?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 1, La Equidad won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad?
Independiente Medellín score 0.75 goals per game on average and La Equidad 1.25. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 50% of La Equidad's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and La Equidad in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 0-2-2 record (0.50 points per game) and La Equidad 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad?
The statistical background for Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.