Independiente Medellín vs Rionegro Águilas: match statistics
Independiente Medellín vs Rionegro Águilas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Medellín play Rionegro Águilas in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Rionegro Águilas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Rionegro Águilas scores 1.05 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Medellín 68%, Rionegro Águilas 58%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 58%, Rionegro Águilas 47%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.17. Independiente Medellín: 14.6 shots per match, Rionegro Águilas: 10.9.
Match halves
Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89. Rionegro Águilas: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). Rionegro Águilas: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): Independiente Medellín holds a clear advantage in chance creation and finishing, evidenced by an average of 17.33 shots and 5.78 on target per home match versus Rionegro’s 8.13 shots and 2.25 on target. That dominance converts into goals and quality of chances — the home side averages 1.56 goals per home match with xG 1.82, while the visitors average only 0.75 goals away and xG 0.87. Form favors the hosts: Independiente have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per game in that period, whereas Rionegro have 1 win in five and just 0.6 points on average. The visitors’ defense has looked fragile recently — Rionegro conceded 13 goals in their last five matches and allow 1.44 xG on the road, while the hosts concede 0.93 xG at home and lose an average of 1.22 goals per match. Considering the hosts have 0% matches without scoring versus 25% scoreless matches for the visitors, plus a possession edge (56% vs 44%), I assess probabilities at 65% home win, 20% draw and 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Rionegro Águilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Medellín is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.4 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Medellín is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.05 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas
Independiente Medellín is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.32 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas
Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Rionegro Águilas keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Rionegro Águilas scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente Medellín
Over / Under — Rionegro Águilas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rionegro Águilas is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.11 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rionegro Águilas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Medellín
Rionegro Águilas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Rionegro Águilas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Independiente Medellín 0 - 1 - 1 Rionegro Águilas. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs Rionegro Águilas?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 1:2 Rionegro Águilas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Rionegro Águilas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 0, Rionegro Águilas won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Rionegro Águilas?
Independiente Medellín score 1.37 goals per game on average and Rionegro Águilas 1.05. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 58% of Rionegro Águilas's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and Rionegro Águilas in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Rionegro Águilas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Rionegro Águilas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.