Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora: match statistics
Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Petrolero played Aurora in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 4 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Patria. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Independiente Petrolero: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Aurora: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Petrolero scores 1.50 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Aurora scores 1.67 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Petrolero 75%, Aurora 75%. Over 2.5: Independiente Petrolero 92%, Aurora 42%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Aurora has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.35. Independiente Petrolero: 12.8 shots per match, Aurora: 14.1.
Match halves
Independiente Petrolero: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 1.08. Aurora: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Independiente Petrolero: 46-60 (5 goals). Aurora: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aurora is the favorite in this match: they sit 4th in the table versus Independiente’s 11th and have a record of 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss this season, while the hosts have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The form gap is clear — Independiente have lost all of their last 5 matches (0 points, 0 points per game) and conceded 11 goals in that span (2.2 per game), whereas Aurora collected 10 points in their last five (3 wins, 1 draw) and conceded 7 goals (1.4 per game). Defensively Aurora hold a concrete advantage: on average 0.8 goals conceded away and 40% away clean sheets versus Independiente’s 1.5 goals conceded at home and only 17% home clean sheets. The hosts create more opportunities (17.17 shots and 5.5 on target per home game) and have a higher home xG (1.77) than Aurora on the road (xG 0.96), but their lower shot conversion (7% vs 11%) limits their efficiency and translates into 1.17 goals at home versus Aurora’s 1.00 away. Considering Aurora’s 10 points versus Independiente’s 0 in the last 5 matches, plus better defense and league position, I back the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Independiente Petrolero has BTTS - Yes at 100% at home this season and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Aurora shows 40% for the season and 60% in the last 5; league-wide BTTS occurs in 68% of fixtures. Petrolero averages 2.33 goals per game this season with xG 1.91 and records 7.0 shots on target, whereas Aurora averages 1.0 goals per game with xG 0.96 and only 2.8 shots on target. The hosts concede 1.5 goals per game this season and as many as 2.2 in the last 5 (11 conceded), while the visitors concede 0.8 for the season and 1.4 in the last 5 (7 conceded); Petrolero has 0% clean sheets and Aurora 40%. The combination of the hosts’ offensive advantage (17.5 shots per game and a 13% conversion rate), their defensive weakness and lack of clean sheets, and the fact that Aurora scored 9 goals in the last 5 (1.8 per game) provides a strong signal for Goal/Goal. I project BTTS probability at approximately 80% vs 20%, therefore I recommend backing 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining both teams' xG yields 1.66 xG for Independiente Petrolero ((1.91 + 1.41)/2) and 1.13 xG for Aurora ((0.96 + 1.29)/2), totaling 2.79 expected goals. Seasonally Independiente averages 2.33 goals per match and has 100% of games over 1.5, while Aurora averages 1.00 goal with 80% of matches over 1.5, which supports an Over 1.5 bet. Form is divergent: Independiente has scored only 0.8 goals and conceded 2.2 on average in the last 5 matches (5 losses), whereas Aurora has averaged 1.8 goals and is in a 'wwldw' run, increasing the likelihood of away goals and impacting the 2.5 line. The home side generates many shots (17.5) and 7.0 on target with a 13% conversion rate, and their clean sheet rate is 0%, suggesting at least two goals are likely. Consequently I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (~77% probability), while Over 2.5 is rated ~53% and Over 3.5 ~31%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Independiente Petrolero holds a clear offensive advantage: xG 1.91 versus Aurora’s 0.96 and an average of 7.0 shots on target compared to 2.8, indicating greater expected danger from the hosts. Half-time statistics show hosts were level at the break in 50% of matches and visitors in 80%, so the most likely half-time score is a draw (estimated ~60%). In the second half the hosts average 1.33 goals (scored_2hg_avg_home) versus 0.6 for the visitors, and most goals occur between the 61st–75th minutes (hosts 4, visitors 3), which increases the hosts’ chances of winning after the break. Considering the xG and shot activity advantage and the fact that the hosts frequently mount second-half turnarounds, the half-time draw / full-time home win (X/1) scenario is rated strongest (approx. 33%). As alternatives I most commonly expect half-time draw / full-time draw (~18%) or the hosts leading at the break and ultimately winning (~21%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Petrolero | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aurora is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Independiente Petrolero · 1.6 pts / match - Aurora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aurora is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Independiente Petrolero · 1.67 goals / match - Aurora
Aurora is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Independiente Petrolero · 1.17 goals / match - Aurora
Independiente Petrolero scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Aurora keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Aurora scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Independiente Petrolero keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente Petrolero
Over / Under — Aurora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aurora is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Independiente Petrolero · 1.42 pts / match - Aurora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Petrolero - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aurora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Petrolero | Liga | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.08 | 3.04 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 92% | 63% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 87% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente PetroleroSubstitutionOn: Luis Carlos Rodríguez CujuyOff: Gustavo Alberto Cristaldo Britez
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Independiente Petrolero 1 - 0 - 1 Aurora. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora?
The LFPB match finished Independiente Petrolero 1:1 Aurora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Petrolero and Aurora?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente Petrolero won 1, Aurora won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora?
Independiente Petrolero score 1.50 goals per game on average and Aurora 1.67. The LFPB average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Independiente Petrolero's matches and 75% of Aurora's.
What form are Independiente Petrolero and Aurora in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Petrolero have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Aurora 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.