Independiente Rivadavia vs Sarmiento: match statistics
Independiente Rivadavia presents excellent home form with a 100% win record at home this season (2 victories in 2 matches). The hosts are in superb disposition, winning 4 of their last 5 matches overall, with an impressive goal difference of 8:2. Sarmiento, conversely, has not won any away match this season (0% success rate), losing both fixtures on the road so far. The visitors have very weak offensive statistics away – averaging 0 goals per match, with just 1 shot on target and 2 shots total, alongside only 30% possession. Additionally, the xG for the visitors stands at merely 0.51 compared to 2.85 for their opponents, confirming their defensive nature on the road. Given the hosts' advantage in every statistical aspect and Sarmiento's dismal away form, I strongly favor a victory for Independiente Rivadavia.
Independiente Rivadavia vs Sarmiento: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Rivadavia play Sarmiento in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 4 February 2026 at 01:15. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Independiente Rivadavia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sarmiento: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Rivadavia scores 1.76 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sarmiento scores 0.81 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Rivadavia 71%, Sarmiento 38%. Over 2.5: Independiente Rivadavia 53%, Sarmiento 44%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Rivadavia has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.23. Independiente Rivadavia: 14.6 shots per match, Sarmiento: 9.9.
Match halves
Independiente Rivadavia: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Sarmiento: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Independiente Rivadavia: 16-30 (9 goals). Sarmiento: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Independiente Rivadavia presents excellent home form with a 100% win record at home this season (2 victories in 2 matches). The hosts are in superb disposition, winning 4 of their last 5 matches overall, with an impressive goal difference of 8:2. Sarmiento, conversely, has not won any away match this season (0% success rate), losing both fixtures on the road so far. The visitors have very weak offensive statistics away – averaging 0 goals per match, with just 1 shot on target and 2 shots total, alongside only 30% possession. Additionally, the xG for the visitors stands at merely 0.51 compared to 2.85 for their opponents, confirming their defensive nature on the road. Given the hosts' advantage in every statistical aspect and Sarmiento's dismal away form, I strongly favor a victory for Independiente Rivadavia.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Rivadavia | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Rivadavia is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Independiente Rivadavia · 1.2 pts / match - Sarmiento
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Rivadavia is 117% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - Independiente Rivadavia · 0.81 goals / match - Sarmiento
Independiente Rivadavia is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Independiente Rivadavia · 1.25 goals / match - Sarmiento
Independiente Rivadavia scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Sarmiento keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Sarmiento scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Independiente Rivadavia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente Rivadavia
Over / Under — Sarmiento
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Rivadavia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarmiento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Rivadavia
Sarmiento
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Rivadavia | Liga | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.08 | • 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Rivadavia vs Sarmiento?
The Primera División match finished Independiente Rivadavia 2:1 Sarmiento. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Rivadavia vs Sarmiento?
Independiente Rivadavia score 1.76 goals per game on average and Sarmiento 0.81. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Independiente Rivadavia's matches and 38% of Sarmiento's.
What form are Independiente Rivadavia and Sarmiento in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Rivadavia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sarmiento 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Rivadavia vs Sarmiento?
The statistical background for Independiente Rivadavia vs Sarmiento — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.