Independiente vs Estudiantes: match statistics
Analysis of the last five matches for both teams indicates very even form and team strength. Estudiantes presents a slightly better disposition with a record of 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per game) and an impressive goal ratio of 9:2, while Independiente holds 4 wins and 1 loss (2.4 points per game) with an 8:1 record. Both teams have characterized themselves with strong defense and offensive efficiency in recent meetings. The lack of detailed data regarding home and away matches in the current season prevents a deeper analysis of the host's advantage. Due to the similar form, minimal difference in points, and high level of both squads, the most likely scenario seems to be a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the visitors, although a draw is also a very realistic result for this duel.
Independiente vs Estudiantes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente play Estudiantes in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 24 January 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Estudiantes: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Estudiantes scores 1.12 and concedes 0.47. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente 71%, Estudiantes 24%. Over 2.5: Independiente 41%, Estudiantes 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.48. Independiente: 12.7 shots per match, Estudiantes: 13.3.
Match halves
Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82. Estudiantes: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). Estudiantes: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Analysis of the last five matches for both teams indicates very even form and team strength. Estudiantes presents a slightly better disposition with a record of 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per game) and an impressive goal ratio of 9:2, while Independiente holds 4 wins and 1 loss (2.4 points per game) with an 8:1 record. Both teams have characterized themselves with strong defense and offensive efficiency in recent meetings. The lack of detailed data regarding home and away matches in the current season prevents a deeper analysis of the host's advantage. Due to the similar form, minimal difference in points, and high level of both squads, the most likely scenario seems to be a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the visitors, although a draw is also a very realistic result for this duel.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente | Estudiantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Independiente · 2 pts / match - Estudiantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Independiente · 1.12 goals / match - Estudiantes
Estudiantes is 187% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Independiente · 0.47 goals / match - Estudiantes
Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
Estudiantes scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente
Over / Under — Estudiantes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Independiente · 0.88 pts / match - Estudiantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente
Estudiantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Independiente | Liga | Estudiantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 45% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Independiente 0 - 1 - 0 Estudiantes. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente vs Estudiantes?
The Primera División match finished Independiente 1:1 Estudiantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs Estudiantes?
Independiente score 1.47 goals per game on average and Estudiantes 1.12. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Independiente's matches and 24% of Estudiantes's.
What form are Independiente and Estudiantes in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Estudiantes 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs Estudiantes?
The statistical background for Independiente vs Estudiantes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.