Argentina - Primera DivisiónEstadio Libertadores de AméricaData current as of October 30, 2026

Independiente vs San Lorenzo: match statistics

Independiente crest
Independiente
1 : 1half-time 1:0
San Lorenzo crest
San Lorenzo

Independiente vs San Lorenzo: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Independiente played against San Lorenzo in Primera División (Argentina). The game was played on September 13, 2026. Venue: Estadio Libertadores de América. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Independiente has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. San Lorenzo has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Independiente scores 1.28 goals per game and allows 1.16. San Lorenzo scores 0.76 and allows 0.84. Games in this league average 2.11 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 52% of Independiente's games and 28% of San Lorenzo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 16%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 36% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Independiente has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.29 per game. Independiente takes 12.9 shots per game, while San Lorenzo takes 10.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Independiente leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. San Lorenzo leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Independiente's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For San Lorenzo, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.11 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 36% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Independiente have a clear attacking edge at home: they average 1.63 xG, 14.67 shots and 1.33 goals per match, while San Lorenzo score just 0.46 goals away from home. The visitors have failed to score in 62% of their away matches, and their average of 2.77 shots on target points to a limited ability to create danger. However, San Lorenzo defend very effectively, conceding only 0.62 goals per away match and keeping a clean sheet in 46% of their outings, which significantly increases the likelihood of a draw. The hosts average 55% possession and win 42% of their home matches, compared with just 15% away wins for San Lorenzo. Both teams have picked up 7 points in their last five matches, but Independiente’s edge in chance creation and their opponent’s poor away finishing support a narrow home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Seasonal statistics clearly support BTTS - No: both teams record a low percentage of matches with goals scored by both sides—33% for Independiente and just 23% for San Lorenzo. The visitors score an average of only 0.46 goals per match, and failed to score in 62% of their league games, which is a key argument against them finding the net. San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 46% of matches and concedes just 0.62 goals per game, while Independiente averages 1.08 goals scored. The signal is even stronger across the last five matchweeks, with BTTS occurring in 20% of the hosts’ matches and 0% of the visitors’ games, while San Lorenzo scored only 2 goals during this period. Although Independiente’s xG stands at 1.59 and San Lorenzo’s at 1.01, the visitors’ low scoring efficiency and the defensive profile of both teams make a scenario in which at least one team fails to score the most likely outcome.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The match profile clearly points to a low-scoring outcome: Independiente’s matches finished with fewer than 3.5 goals in 83% of cases, while the figure for San Lorenzo was 92%. The visitors score just 0.46 goals per match on average and failed to score in 62% of their games, significantly limiting their contribution to a high total. Independiente have greater attacking potential, with an xG of 1.59 compared to San Lorenzo’s 1.01, but the hosts average only 1.08 goals and have scored 4 times in their last 5 matches. In addition, 75% of the hosts’ matches and as many as 92% of the visitors’ games stayed below 2.5 goals, making Under 3.5 goals the market with the strongest statistical support while leaving a safe margin for a 2:1 result.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time, as San Lorenzo were level after 45 minutes in 69% of matches, compared with 42% for Independiente. The first halves should be very tight: the hosts average just 0.17 goals during this period, while the visitors average 0.15, and San Lorenzo keep a clean sheet at half-time in 85% of their matches. After the break, however, the advantage shifts to Independiente, who average 0.92 goals and win the second half in 57% of cases, while San Lorenzo score just 0.31 goals during this period. The hosts also have the higher xG, 1.59 compared with 1.01, while the visitors have failed to score in 62% of their matches overall, further supporting the scenario of a half-time draw followed by an Independiente win at the final whistle.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

66Possession (%)34
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
23Shots8
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
5Shots on target3
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
2.21xG0.86
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
8Corners6
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
57Dangerous attacks18
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
12Fouls17
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
2Cards3
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.28Goals scored / game0.76
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.16Goals allowed / game0.84
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
52%Average possession50%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4Shots on target / game3.68
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.92Shots per game10.88
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4Shots on target3.68
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
9.9%Shot conversion7%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
52%Possession50%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.49xG for1.29
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.33xG against1.6
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Shooting quality

Independiente: BalancedSan Lorenzo: Balanced
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
Accuracy (shots on target)31%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Independiente
LWDLW
Season result split
40% W28% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-8
1.48 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
San Lorenzo
LWDLW
Season result split
32% W36% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-9-8
1.32 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-7-4
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente is 68% better for: goals scored per game.

1.28 goals / game - Independiente · 0.76 goals / game - San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.16 goals / game - Independiente · 0.84 goals / game - San Lorenzo

Independiente scoring profile: strong

Independiente scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 games), while San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 52% (13 of 25 games).

San Lorenzo scoring profile: strong

San Lorenzo scores in 60% of games (15 of 25 games), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 games).

32Goals scored (season)19
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
29Goals conceded (season)21
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
2.44Average goals per game1.6
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4Goals scored (last 5)2
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal60%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
32%2 goals16%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
12%3 goals0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4%4 goals0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal48%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
28%2 goals20%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
16%3 goals8%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4%4 goals4%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time4%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4%BTTS in both halves4%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
16%Scored in both halves8%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS16%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
20%BTTS - last 50%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time44%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time12%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Independiente is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.28 pts / game - Independiente · 0.96 pts / game - San Lorenzo

Independiente - half-time state
24% leading56% draw20% trailing
San Lorenzo - half-time state
12% leading60% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.28Points per game (1st half)0.96
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.52Goals scored (1st half)0.16
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.04Average goals (1st half)0.56
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
60%Clean sheet before half-time68%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
52%No goal before half-time84%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per game (2nd half)1.52
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.04
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
52%Clean sheet after half-time64%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
52%No goal after half-time48%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Independiente - second-half results

36% W32% D32% L
32
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

San Lorenzo - second-half results

36% W44% D20% L
24
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding267%

Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Independiente - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game0.41.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
San Lorenzo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.20.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Independiente
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
2
2
16-30
8
6
31-45
8
4
46-60
3
6
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

San Lorenzo
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
5
31-45
2
6
46-60
6
4
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.02
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Independiente

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

San Lorenzo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.76
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

IndependienteLigaSan Lorenzo
Average goals per game▲ 2.442.11▼ 1.60
Both teams scored▲ 52%45%▼ 28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 36%36%▼ 16%
Clean sheets▼ 32%34%▲ 52%
Goal before half-time• 60%60%▼ 44%
Goal after half-time▲ 76%72%▼ 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.11
Average goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / game
0.91
Away goals / game
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. San LorenzoYellow cardIgnacio Perruzzi Ambrosini
  2. IndependienteYellow cardIván José Marcone
  3. IndependienteYellow cardSantiago Gabriel Montiel
  4. San LorenzoSubstitutionOn: Enzo Alan SalasOff: Alexis Ricardo Cuello
  5. San LorenzoSubstitutionOn: Juan RattalinoOff: Carlos Manuel Insaurralde
  6. San LorenzoYellow cardGuzmán Corujo Bríccola
  7. IndependienteSubstitutionOn: Iván Andrés Morales BravoOff: Mateo Curci
  8. San LorenzoYellow cardEzequiel Herrera

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Independiente's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against San Lorenzo. Games average 2.75 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

San Lorenzo
1 : 2
Independiente
CA Independiente
1 : 1
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
1 : 2
CA Independiente
Independiente
1 : 2
San Lorenzo

FAQ

What was the result of Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

The Primera División match finished Independiente 1:1 San Lorenzo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and San Lorenzo?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente won 2, San Lorenzo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

Independiente score 1.28 goals per game on average and San Lorenzo 0.76. The Primera División average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Independiente's matches and 28% of San Lorenzo's.

What form are Independiente and San Lorenzo in?

Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and San Lorenzo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

The statistical background for Independiente vs San Lorenzo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.