Argentina - Primera DivisiónData current as of September 13, 2026

Independiente vs San Lorenzo: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Independiente vs San Lorenzo: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Independiente plays San Lorenzo in Primera División (Argentina). The game is scheduled for September 13, 2026.

Recent form

Independiente has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. San Lorenzo has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Independiente scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 1.35. San Lorenzo scores 0.94 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Independiente's games and 41% of San Lorenzo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 24%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Independiente has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.24 per game. Independiente takes 12.7 shots per game, while San Lorenzo takes 10.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Independiente leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. San Lorenzo leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Independiente's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For San Lorenzo, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.09)
(2.94)
(4.22)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.47Goals scored / game0.94
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.35Goals allowed / game0.94
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
53%Average possession49%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4.06Shots on target / game3.59
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.71Shots per game10.12
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4.06Shots on target3.59
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
11.6%Shot conversion9.3%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
53%Possession49%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.48xG for1.24
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.27xG against1.63
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Shooting quality

Independiente: BalancedSan Lorenzo: Balanced
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Independiente is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Independiente · 1.2 pts / game - San Lorenzo

Independiente
DWLWL
Season result split
35% W35% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-5
1.41 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
San Lorenzo
DDWLD
Season result split
29% W47% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-8-4
1.35 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-1
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DDDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 2.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente is 56% better for: goals scored per game.

1.47 goals / game - Independiente · 0.94 goals / game - San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.35 goals / game - Independiente · 0.94 goals / game - San Lorenzo

Independiente scoring profile: strong

Independiente scores in 94% of games (16 of 17 meczów), while San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 meczów).

San Lorenzo scoring profile: very strong

San Lorenzo scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).

25Goals scored (season)16
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
23Goals conceded (season)16
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
2.82Average goals per game1.88
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
7Goals scored (last 5)4
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal71%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
35%2 goals24%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
12%3 goals0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
6%4 goals0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal47%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
35%2 goals24%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
18%3 goals12%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
6%4 goals6%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

41%BTTS at half-time0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
6%BTTS in both halves0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
18%Scored in both halves12%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
80%BTTS - last 540%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time12%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Independiente is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / game - Independiente · 1.18 pts / game - San Lorenzo

Independiente - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing
San Lorenzo - half-time state
24% leading47% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per game (1st half)1.18
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.24
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.35Average goals (1st half)0.65
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
47%Clean sheet before half-time71%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
41%No goal before half-time76%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per game (2nd half)1.53
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.24
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
53%Clean sheet after half-time65%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
47%No goal after half-time41%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Independiente - second-half results

35% W35% D29% L
21
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

San Lorenzo - second-half results

35% W47% D18% L
20
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Independiente - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.81.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
San Lorenzo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.80
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Independiente
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
2
2
16-30
6
5
31-45
6
1
46-60
3
4
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

San Lorenzo
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
3
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Independiente

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

San Lorenzo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

IndependienteLigaSan Lorenzo
Average goals per game 2.822.08 1.88
Both teams scored 71%45% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%34% 24%
Clean sheets 24%34% 53%
Goal before half-time 71%61% 53%
Goal after half-time 76%71% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.08
Average goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / game
0.90
Away goals / game
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Independiente's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against San Lorenzo. Games average 2.75 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
1 : 2
CA Independiente
CA Independiente
1 : 1
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
1 : 2
CA Independiente
Independiente
1 : 2
San Lorenzo

FAQ

When do Independiente and San Lorenzo play?

Independiente face San Lorenzo on September 13, 2026 in Primera División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and San Lorenzo?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente won 2, San Lorenzo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

Independiente score 1.47 goals per game on average and San Lorenzo 0.94. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Independiente's matches and 41% of San Lorenzo's.

What form are Independiente and San Lorenzo in?

Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and San Lorenzo 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

The statistical background for Independiente vs San Lorenzo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.