Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe: match statistics
Independiente presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 6:2 goal difference at their own stadium, remaining undefeated at home this season. The hosts dominate in ball possession (54% vs 41%) and generate higher xG values in home matches (1.77 vs 1.49 xG for the visitors on the road). Despite good overall form (3 wins in their last 5 matches), Unión Santa Fe struggles away from home, where they lose half of their games and fail to keep a clean sheet. The visitors' weaker away streak (LLWW) and the fact that Independiente scores an average of 1.5 goals per home game while conceding just 0.5, speak in favor of the hosts. Considering all the statistics, I expect a win for Independiente, although Unión Santa Fe might put up a tough fight, making a draw a realistic scenario as well.
Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente play Unión Santa Fe in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 10 March 2026 at 23:45. Final score: 4:4.
Current form
Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Unión Santa Fe: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Unión Santa Fe scores 1.44 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente 71%, Unión Santa Fe 56%. Over 2.5: Independiente 41%, Unión Santa Fe 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Unión Santa Fe has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.48. Independiente: 12.7 shots per match, Unión Santa Fe: 16.8.
Match halves
Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82. Unión Santa Fe: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). Unión Santa Fe: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Independiente presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 6:2 goal difference at their own stadium, remaining undefeated at home this season. The hosts dominate in ball possession (54% vs 41%) and generate higher xG values in home matches (1.77 vs 1.49 xG for the visitors on the road). Despite good overall form (3 wins in their last 5 matches), Unión Santa Fe struggles away from home, where they lose half of their games and fail to keep a clean sheet. The visitors' weaker away streak (LLWW) and the fact that Independiente scores an average of 1.5 goals per home game while conceding just 0.5, speak in favor of the hosts. Considering all the statistics, I expect a win for Independiente, although Unión Santa Fe might put up a tough fight, making a draw a realistic scenario as well.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente | Unión Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Independiente · 1 pts / match - Unión Santa Fe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Unión Santa Fe is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Independiente · 1.28 goals / match - Unión Santa Fe
Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Unión Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Unión Santa Fe scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente
Over / Under — Unión Santa Fe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Unión Santa Fe is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Independiente · 1.67 pts / match - Unión Santa Fe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Unión Santa Fe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente
Unión Santa Fe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Independiente | Liga | Unión Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 45% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Independiente 1 - 0 - 0 Unión Santa Fe. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe?
The Primera División match finished Independiente 4:4 Unión Santa Fe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe?
Independiente score 1.47 goals per game on average and Unión Santa Fe 1.44. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Independiente's matches and 56% of Unión Santa Fe's.
What form are Independiente and Unión Santa Fe in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Unión Santa Fe 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.