Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe: match statistics
Independiente presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 6:2 goal difference at their own stadium, remaining undefeated at home this season. The hosts dominate in ball possession (54% vs 41%) and generate higher xG values in home matches (1.77 vs 1.49 xG for the visitors on the road). Despite good overall form (3 wins in their last 5 matches), Unión Santa Fe struggles away from home, where they lose half of their games and fail to keep a clean sheet. The visitors' weaker away streak (LLWW) and the fact that Independiente scores an average of 1.5 goals per home game while conceding just 0.5, speak in favor of the hosts. Considering all the statistics, I expect a win for Independiente, although Unión Santa Fe might put up a tough fight, making a draw a realistic scenario as well.
Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Independiente played against Unión Santa Fe in Primera División (Argentina). The game was played on March 10, 2026. Final score: 4:4.
Recent form
Independiente has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Unión Santa Fe has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Independiente scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 0.88. Unión Santa Fe scores 1.38 and allows 0.63. Games in this league average 1.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Independiente's games and 38% of Unión Santa Fe's. The Over 2.5 rates are 13% and 50%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Unión Santa Fe has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.55 per game. Independiente takes 14.0 shots per game, while Unión Santa Fe takes 16.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Independiente leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Unión Santa Fe leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Independiente's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Unión Santa Fe, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 1.93 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 6:2 goal difference at their own stadium, remaining undefeated at home this season. The hosts dominate in ball possession (54% vs 41%) and generate higher xG values in home matches (1.77 vs 1.49 xG for the visitors on the road). Despite good overall form (3 wins in their last 5 matches), Unión Santa Fe struggles away from home, where they lose half of their games and fail to keep a clean sheet. The visitors' weaker away streak (LLWW) and the fact that Independiente scores an average of 1.5 goals per home game while conceding just 0.5, speak in favor of the hosts. Considering all the statistics, I expect a win for Independiente, although Unión Santa Fe might put up a tough fight, making a draw a realistic scenario as well.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente | Unión Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Unión Santa Fe is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Independiente · 0.63 goals / game - Unión Santa Fe
Independiente scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 meczów), while Unión Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 meczów).
Unión Santa Fe scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente
Over / Under - Unión Santa Fe
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Unión Santa Fe is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Independiente · 1.63 pts / game - Unión Santa Fe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Unión Santa Fe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Independiente
Unión Santa Fe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Independiente | Liga | Unión Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.25 | 1.93 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 44% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 36% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Independiente's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Unión Santa Fe. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe?
The Primera División match finished Independiente 4:4 Unión Santa Fe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe?
Independiente score 1.38 goals per game on average and Unión Santa Fe 1.38. The Primera División average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Independiente's matches and 38% of Unión Santa Fe's.
What form are Independiente and Unión Santa Fe in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Unión Santa Fe 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.