Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely evenly balanced. Independiente are in solid form with three wins in their last five matches and an impressive goal difference of 7:2; however, at home they have recorded two draws without a win. Vélez Sarsfield have a 100% away record this season (two wins, zero goals conceded), but their form in their last five matches is uncertain with two defeats. A key factor is the visitors' possession advantage (53% vs 40%) and their high shooting accuracy away from home (14%). On the other hand, the hosts have better xG statistics in home matches (1.37 vs 0.91 for the visitors away) and show greater offensive activity. Taking into account Vélez's defensive solidity away from home and Independiente's difficulties in securing wins at home, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Independiente played against Vélez Sarsfield in Primera División (Argentina). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Independiente has 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Vélez Sarsfield has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Independiente scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.50 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 1.81 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Independiente's games and 50% of Vélez Sarsfield's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 50%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Independiente has the higher season xG average, 1.17 to 1.11 per game. Independiente takes 9.5 shots per game, while Vélez Sarsfield takes 8.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Independiente leads at halftime in 100% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Vélez Sarsfield leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Independiente's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Vélez Sarsfield, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 1.81 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely evenly balanced. Independiente are in solid form with three wins in their last five matches and an impressive goal difference of 7:2; however, at home they have recorded two draws without a win. Vélez Sarsfield have a 100% away record this season (two wins, zero goals conceded), but their form in their last five matches is uncertain with two defeats. A key factor is the visitors' possession advantage (53% vs 40%) and their high shooting accuracy away from home (14%). On the other hand, the hosts have better xG statistics in home matches (1.37 vs 0.91 for the visitors away) and show greater offensive activity. Taking into account Vélez's defensive solidity away from home and Independiente's difficulties in securing wins at home, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Vélez Sarsfield is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Independiente · 3 pts / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vélez Sarsfield is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Independiente · 1.5 goals / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Independiente · 0.5 goals / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Independiente scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente
Over / Under - Vélez Sarsfield
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente is 500% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / game - Independiente · 0.5 pts / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Independiente
Vélez Sarsfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Independiente | Liga | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.00 | 1.81 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Independiente's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Vélez Sarsfield. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The Primera División match finished Independiente 1:1 Vélez Sarsfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and Vélez Sarsfield?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1, Vélez Sarsfield won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Independiente score 1.00 goals per game on average and Vélez Sarsfield 1.50. The Primera División average is 1.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Independiente's matches and 50% of Vélez Sarsfield's.
What form are Independiente and Vélez Sarsfield in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 0-2-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Vélez Sarsfield 2-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.