Indy Eleven vs Lexington: match statistics
Indy Eleven vs Lexington: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Indy Eleven play Lexington in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Nordjyske Bank Arena. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Indy Eleven: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Lexington: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Indy Eleven scores 1.29 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Lexington scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Indy Eleven 50%, Lexington 64%. Over 2.5: Indy Eleven 43%, Lexington 64%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Indy Eleven has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.43. Indy Eleven: 13.1 shots per match, Lexington: 12.2.
Match halves
Indy Eleven: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Lexington: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Indy Eleven: 61-75 (6 goals). Lexington: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Indy Eleven have a 75% win rate at home and remain unbeaten at their stadium this season (0% defeats). At home they average 2.0 goals with xG 1.94 and 7 on-target shots per game, while Lexington away average 0.5 goals, xG 1.24 and only 3 on-target shots per game. In terms of efficiency Indy Eleven convert 12% of shots versus 5% for the visitors, and the hosts have 0% of home games without scoring compared to 50% for Lexington, supporting the hosts’ offensive reliability. Defensively the hosts concede 1.0 goal at home on average and the visitors 1.25 away, with both teams having conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Considering the xG advantage (1.94 vs 1.24), greater chance volume (16.75 vs 10.25 average shots) and Lexington’s lack of away wins (0% away victories), I estimate probabilities of 70% home, 18% draw and 12% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Indy Eleven | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lexington is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Indy Eleven · 1.8 pts / match - Lexington
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lexington is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Indy Eleven · 1.57 goals / match - Lexington
Indy Eleven is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Indy Eleven · 1.43 goals / match - Lexington
Indy Eleven scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Lexington scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Indy Eleven keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Indy Eleven
Over / Under — Lexington
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lexington is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Indy Eleven · 1.36 pts / match - Lexington
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Indy Eleven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lexington - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Indy Eleven
Lexington
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Indy Eleven | Liga | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Indy Eleven 0 - 1 - 0 Lexington. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
The USL Championship match finished Indy Eleven 3:1 Lexington. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
Indy Eleven score 1.29 goals per game on average and Lexington 1.57. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Indy Eleven's matches and 64% of Lexington's.
What form are Indy Eleven and Lexington in?
Over the last 5 games Indy Eleven have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Lexington 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
The statistical background for Indy Eleven vs Lexington — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


