Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue: match statistics
Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ingolstadt play Erzgebirge Aue in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 3:5.
Current form
Ingolstadt: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Erzgebirge Aue: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ingolstadt scores 1.71 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.34 and concedes 1.84. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ingolstadt 74%, Erzgebirge Aue 66%. Over 2.5: Ingolstadt 71%, Erzgebirge Aue 66%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Ingolstadt has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.43. Ingolstadt: 13.2 shots per match, Erzgebirge Aue: 11.7.
Match halves
Ingolstadt: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.97. Erzgebirge Aue: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (15 goals). Erzgebirge Aue: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ingolstadt holds a seasonal advantage: they have scored 55 goals versus Aue's 42 and conceded 49 compared to the visitors' 65, indicating better overall defensive stability for the hosts. At home Ingolstadt averages 1.35 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per match, while Aue on the road averages 1.00 scored and 1.94 conceded, so the hosts are more efficient both offensively and defensively. The quality of chances created is confirmed by xG: Ingolstadt at home has xG 1.67 with 14.71 shots and 5.06 on target on average, whereas Aue away has xG 1.34 with 11.12 shots and 3.88 on target, therefore the hosts generate more clear-cut chances. However, recent trends reduce the home advantage — Ingolstadt have only 0.6 points per game in the last 5 and scored 5 goals, while Aue have 1.2 pts and scored 7 goals in that period, giving the visitors better form. Considering the seasonal potential (55–42), superior home xG and shot volume and Aue’s very poor away record (away wins only 6% and away goal differential -16), I predict an Ingolstadt win: home 60%, draw 25%, away 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ingolstadt | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ingolstadt is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.34 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Ingolstadt is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.84 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Ingolstadt scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Erzgebirge Aue scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ingolstadt
Over / Under — Erzgebirge Aue
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ingolstadt is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 1 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ingolstadt
Erzgebirge Aue
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ingolstadt | Liga | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.18 | 3.21 | • 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ingolstadt 0 - 1 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The 3. Liga match finished Ingolstadt 3:5 Erzgebirge Aue. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Ingolstadt score 1.71 goals per game on average and Erzgebirge Aue 1.34. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Ingolstadt's matches and 66% of Erzgebirge Aue's.
What form are Ingolstadt and Erzgebirge Aue in?
Over the last 5 games Ingolstadt have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Erzgebirge Aue 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.