Germany - 3. LigaAudi-SportparkData current as of October 21, 2026

Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ingolstadt plays MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Audi-Sportpark.

Recent form

Ingolstadt has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. MSV Duisburg has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Ingolstadt scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.50. MSV Duisburg scores 2.70 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 3.30 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Ingolstadt's games and 80% of MSV Duisburg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 90%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

MSV Duisburg has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.51 per game. Ingolstadt takes 12.8 shots per game, while MSV Duisburg takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Ingolstadt leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. MSV Duisburg leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.70 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ingolstadt's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For MSV Duisburg, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

3. Liga games average 3.30 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.00)
(3.50)
(2.00)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
1.3Goals scored / game2.7
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
1.5Goals allowed / game1.2
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
44%Average possession45%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
4.3Shots on target / game5.9
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.8Shots per game13.4
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
4.3Shots on target5.9
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
10.2%Shot conversion20.1%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
44%Possession45%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
1.51xG for1.67
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
1.73xG against1.33
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

Shooting quality

Ingolstadt: BalancedMSV Duisburg: Counter-attacking
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
Accuracy (shots on target)34%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.46

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

MSV Duisburg is 117% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Ingolstadt · 2.6 pts / game - MSV Duisburg

Ingolstadt
LLLWW
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-4
1.40 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
DLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
MSV Duisburg
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
80% W10% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-1
2.50 pts / game · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MSV Duisburg is 108% better for: goals scored per game.

1.3 goals / game - Ingolstadt · 2.7 goals / game - MSV Duisburg

MSV Duisburg is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - Ingolstadt · 1.2 goals / game - MSV Duisburg

Ingolstadt scoring profile: very strong

Ingolstadt scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

MSV Duisburg scoring profile: very strong

MSV Duisburg scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).

13Goals scored (season)27
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
15Goals conceded (season)12
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
2.8Average goals per game3.9
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
7Goals scored (last 5)14
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal100%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
40%2 goals80%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
10%3 goals60%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
0%4 goals30%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal80%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
50%2 goals40%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
30%3 goals0%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
10%4 goals0%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time10%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
0%BTTS in both halves0%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
10%Scored in both halves40%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS70%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
30%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
40%BTTS - last 5100%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time70%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MSV Duisburg is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / game - Ingolstadt · 1.7 pts / game - MSV Duisburg

Ingolstadt - half-time state
20% leading70% draw10% trailing
MSV Duisburg - half-time state
50% leading20% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per game (1st half)1.7
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
0.6Goals scored (1st half)1
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
1.3Average goals (1st half)1.5
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
60%Clean sheet before half-time60%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
50%No goal before half-time50%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per game (2nd half)2.1
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)1.7
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
1.5Average goals (2nd half)2.4
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
70%Clean sheet after half-time50%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg
60%No goal after half-time10%
IngolstadtMSV Duisburg

Ingolstadt - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

MSV Duisburg - second-half results

70% W0% D30% L
17
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ingolstadt - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.21.6
Average goals per game0.42.8
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
MSV Duisburg - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.80
Goals scored / game1.41.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game2.22.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ingolstadt
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

MSV Duisburg
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
9
2
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.35
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ingolstadt

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

MSV Duisburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
166%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

IngolstadtLigaMSV Duisburg
Average goals per game▼ 2.803.30▲ 3.90
Both teams scored▼ 40%62%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 60%64%▲ 90%
Clean sheets▲ 40%21%• 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%78%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%78%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.30
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / game
1.63
Away goals / game
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
9%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Ingolstadt's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against MSV Duisburg. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FC Ingolstadt 04
0 : 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
2 : 1
FC Ingolstadt 04

FAQ

When do Ingolstadt and MSV Duisburg play?

Ingolstadt face MSV Duisburg on October 24, 2026 in 3. Liga at Audi-Sportpark. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ingolstadt and MSV Duisburg?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 0, MSV Duisburg won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg?

Ingolstadt score 1.30 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 2.70. The 3. Liga average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ingolstadt's matches and 80% of MSV Duisburg's.

What form are Ingolstadt and MSV Duisburg in?

Over the last 5 games Ingolstadt have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.