Ingolstadt vs Verl: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which suggests a draw as the most likely outcome. Ingolstadt displays solid home form with 38% wins and only 23% losses at home, averaging 1.54 goals per match with a possession rate of 50%. Verl, despite their higher position in the table, struggles in away matches - conceding an average of 1.71 goals per game and winning only 36% of their away fixtures. The recent form of both teams is poor (Ingolstadt 1.2 PPG, Verl 0.8 PPG in their last 5 matches), which further supports a draw. A key factor is the identical goal difference (+4) of both teams in their matches, which confirms the balanced nature of this encounter. The high percentage of draws for Ingolstadt at home (38%) and Verl away (36%) further supports this prediction.
Ingolstadt vs Verl: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ingolstadt played against Verl in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Ingolstadt has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Verl has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Ingolstadt scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.33. Verl scores 2.26 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 3.11 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 74% of Ingolstadt's games and 78% of Verl's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 78%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Verl has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.65 per game. Ingolstadt takes 14.0 shots per game, while Verl takes 15.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Ingolstadt leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 1.04 goals per game after halftime. Verl leads at halftime in 41% and scores 1.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ingolstadt's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Verl, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3. Liga games average 3.11 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which suggests a draw as the most likely outcome. Ingolstadt displays solid home form with 38% wins and only 23% losses at home, averaging 1.54 goals per match with a possession rate of 50%. Verl, despite their higher position in the table, struggles in away matches - conceding an average of 1.71 goals per game and winning only 36% of their away fixtures. The recent form of both teams is poor (Ingolstadt 1.2 PPG, Verl 0.8 PPG in their last 5 matches), which further supports a draw. A key factor is the identical goal difference (+4) of both teams in their matches, which confirms the balanced nature of this encounter. The high percentage of draws for Ingolstadt at home (38%) and Verl away (36%) further supports this prediction.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ingolstadt | Verl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ingolstadt is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Ingolstadt · 0.8 pts / game - Verl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Verl is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
1.67 goals / game - Ingolstadt · 2.26 goals / game - Verl
Ingolstadt is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Ingolstadt · 1.48 goals / game - Verl
Ingolstadt scores in 85% of games (23 of 27 meczów), while Verl keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 meczów).
Verl scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 meczów), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ingolstadt
Over / Under - Verl
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Verl is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / game - Ingolstadt · 1.59 pts / game - Verl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Verl - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ingolstadt
Verl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ingolstadt | Liga | Verl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 63% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 22% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ingolstadt's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Verl. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ingolstadt vs Verl?
The 3. Liga match finished Ingolstadt 1:2 Verl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ingolstadt vs Verl?
Ingolstadt score 1.67 goals per game on average and Verl 2.26. The 3. Liga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Ingolstadt's matches and 78% of Verl's.
What form are Ingolstadt and Verl in?
Over the last 5 games Ingolstadt have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Verl 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ingolstadt vs Verl?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.