Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln: match statistics
Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ingolstadt play Viktoria Köln in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 8 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ingolstadt: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Viktoria Köln: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ingolstadt scores 1.71 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Viktoria Köln scores 1.34 and concedes 1.39. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ingolstadt 74%, Viktoria Köln 47%. Over 2.5: Ingolstadt 71%, Viktoria Köln 53%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Ingolstadt has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.40. Ingolstadt: 13.2 shots per match, Viktoria Köln: 11.4.
Match halves
Ingolstadt: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.97. Viktoria Köln: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (15 goals). Viktoria Köln: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1) based on a clear advantage in chance creation: Ingolstadt averages 1.72 xG at home and 15.13 shots with 5.27 on target per match, while Viktoria Köln away posts only 1.32 xG, 10.67 shots and 4.13 on target. This translates into efficiency and momentum — Ingolstadt scores 1.47 goals per home match on average, versus 1.40 for the visitors away; additionally the hosts fail to score in just 20% of home games compared to 33% scoreless matches for Viktoria. Defensively the hosts also perform better: Ingolstadt concedes 1.33 goals per match at home, while Viktoria concedes 1.47 away, with similar xG against (1.64 vs 1.59). Both teams are in poor form — each has scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches with a record of 1 win and 4 losses, which increases result volatility. Considering the home advantage in chance creation and slightly better defense, I estimate 55% for an Ingolstadt win, 20% for a draw and 25% for a Viktoria Köln win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ingolstadt | Viktoria Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ingolstadt is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 0.8 pts / match - Viktoria Köln
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ingolstadt is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.34 goals / match - Viktoria Köln
Viktoria Köln is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.39 goals / match - Viktoria Köln
Ingolstadt scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Viktoria Köln keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Viktoria Köln scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ingolstadt
Over / Under — Viktoria Köln
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Viktoria Köln - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ingolstadt
Viktoria Köln
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ingolstadt | Liga | Viktoria Köln | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.18 | 3.21 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 83% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ingolstadt 0 - 0 - 1 Viktoria Köln. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln?
The 3. Liga match finished Ingolstadt 1:2 Viktoria Köln. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln?
Ingolstadt score 1.71 goals per game on average and Viktoria Köln 1.34. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Ingolstadt's matches and 47% of Viktoria Köln's.
What form are Ingolstadt and Viktoria Köln in?
Over the last 5 games Ingolstadt have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Viktoria Köln 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.